Anjoy food(603345) 国泰君安·2024-10-29 13:53Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating [4] - Target price remains at 113.37 RMB [4] - Current price is 91.79 RMB [4] Core Views - Revenue growth remains steady in Q3 2024, but profitability fluctuates due to increased equity payment expenses and intensified promotions [5] - The company maintains strong competitive advantages in the long term and is expected to outperform competitors [7] - Lock-fresh products continue to grow rapidly, and new categories, channels, and customers are being actively developed [7] Financial Performance - Q1-Q3 2024 revenue: 11.08 billion RMB, up 7.84% YoY [7] - Q1-Q3 2024 net profit: 1.05 billion RMB, down 6.65% YoY [7] - Q3 2024 revenue: 3.53 billion RMB, up 4.63% YoY [7] - Q3 2024 net profit: 244 million RMB, down 36.76% YoY [7] - Q3 2024 gross margin: 19.9%, down 2.0 pct YoY [7] Business Segments - Frozen prepared food revenue: -0.1% YoY in Q3 2024 [7] - Dishes revenue: +24.1% YoY in Q3 2024 [7] - Rice and noodle products revenue: -9.5% YoY in Q3 2024 [7] Channels - Distributor channel revenue: +3.2% YoY in Q3 2024 [7] - Special direct sales channel revenue: -12.4% YoY in Q3 2024 [7] - Supermarket channel revenue: +15.1% YoY in Q3 2024 [7] - New retail channel revenue: +95.9% YoY in Q3 2024 [7] - E-commerce channel revenue: +0.4% YoY in Q3 2024 [7] Financial Forecasts - 2024-2026 EPS forecasts adjusted to 5.06, 5.70, and 6.40 RMB, respectively [7] - 2024-2026 revenue growth expected at 8.5%, 11.1%, and 10.8% [12] - 2024-2026 net profit growth expected at 0.4%, 12.7%, and 12.3% [12] Valuation Metrics - 2024 PE ratio: 18.15x [12] - 2024 PB ratio: 1.95x [14] - 2024 PS ratio: 1.77x [14] Historical Performance - 52-week stock price range: 68.93-129.22 RMB [8] - 1-month stock price increase: 2% [11] - 3-month stock price increase: 25% [11] - 12-month stock price decrease: 24% [11]