Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [2][12]. Core Views - The company is actively expanding into overseas markets, and domestic sales are expected to benefit from the old-for-new policy, with new products continuously providing incremental growth. Future growth is anticipated to continue [3][13]. - The earnings forecast for 2024-2026 has been adjusted, with expected EPS of 0.33, 0.45, and 0.58 yuan, representing year-on-year growth of +39%, +36%, and +30% respectively. The target price has been raised to 14 yuan, based on a 31x PE for 2025 [5][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Performance Overview - For Q1-Q3 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.399 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of +5.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 104 million yuan, up +4.1%. In Q3 2024, operating revenue was 778 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of +8.8%, with a net profit of 36 million yuan, up +11.18% [15]. 2. Business Segment Growth - The water health and cleaning appliance segments are expected to see double-digit growth, benefiting from government subsidies. The Philips water health business is anticipated to perform well in the domestic market due to the old-for-new subsidy, while overseas market growth is expected to continue through product matrix and channel promotion [16]. 3. Profitability Improvement - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2024 was 31.82%, up +0.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 4.24%, up +0.02 percentage points. For Q3 2024, the gross margin was 31.21%, down -1.8 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 4.51%, up +0.05 percentage points. Changes in product structure are expected to be a key reason for the improvement in gross margin [17]. 4. Cash Flow and Financial Health - As of Q3 2024, the company had cash and cash equivalents plus trading financial assets totaling 1.56 billion yuan, down -82 million yuan year-on-year. Inventory was 555 million yuan, up +123 million yuan year-on-year. The net cash flow from operating activities for Q1-Q3 2024 was 79 million yuan, down -98 million yuan year-on-year [18][19].
德尔玛：2024Q3业绩点评：收入表现稳健，盈利能力提升