HTGD(600487) 中泰证券·2024-10-31 06:38Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance continues to grow strongly, with sufficient orders in the energy interconnection sector [1] - The company's profitability has improved due to technological R&D and cost control, with a net profit margin of 5.90% in Q3 2024, up 0.81 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The company's marine business is in the domestic first tier, with ample orders, and performance is expected to further improve as the offshore wind and cable market recovers [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 42.399 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.79% [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.315 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.32% [1] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.208 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.20% [1] - Q3 2024 revenue was 15.785 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.21%, and net profit attributable to the parent company was 693 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.94% [1] Business Highlights - The company has actively seized market opportunities in the context of "new infrastructure," "carbon peaking and carbon neutrality," and "digital China," driving growth in its ultra-high voltage, grid intelligence, industrial and new energy intelligence, and marine communication businesses [1] - The company's offshore wind power projects are progressing well, with orders in the energy interconnection sector reaching 20 billion yuan by Q3 2024 [1] - The company has made significant progress in the development of special optical fibers and high-speed optical modules, with orders in the marine communication sector exceeding 6 billion yuan [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 54.703 billion yuan, 61.733 billion yuan, and 68.754 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15%, 13%, and 11% [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 2.976 billion yuan, 3.755 billion yuan, and 4.267 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 38%, 26%, and 14% [1] - The company's EPS is expected to be 1.21 yuan, 1.52 yuan, and 1.73 yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [1] Valuation - The company's P/E ratio is expected to be 14.8, 11.8, and 10.4 in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [1] - The company's P/B ratio is expected to be 1.6, 1.4, and 1.3 in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [1]