FIYTA(000026) 国泰君安·2024-10-31 13:48Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][3] Core Views - The company experienced pressure in Q3, with sales from both Swiss watches and proprietary brands underperforming. The company is actively optimizing its channel structure and cultivating new growth points, awaiting business stabilization and recovery [2][3][4] - Revenue for the first three quarters was 3.04 billion yuan, down 13.8%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 198 million yuan, down 25.6%. Q3 single-quarter revenue was 963 million yuan, down 17.2%, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 50 million yuan, down 35.4% [3][4] - The forecast for EPS from 2024 to 2026 has been revised down to 0.61, 0.68, and 0.75 yuan respectively, reflecting a growth rate of -26%, 13%, and 10% [3][4] - The target price has been adjusted to 12.20 yuan, based on a 20x PE ratio for 2024, down from a previous estimate of 12.57 yuan [2][3][9] Financial Summary - The company reported total revenue of 4.57 billion yuan for 2023, with a projected decline to 3.98 billion yuan in 2024, followed by a recovery to 4.39 billion yuan in 2025 and 4.77 billion yuan in 2026 [3][4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 333 million yuan in 2023, decreasing to 247 million yuan in 2024, and then recovering to 278 million yuan in 2025 and 305 million yuan in 2026 [3][4] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 37.2%, an increase of 1.14 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 6.5%, down 1.03 percentage points [4]