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上声电子:2024年三季报点评:3Q业绩超预期,毛利率显著向上
688533SONAVOX(688533) 华创证券·2024-11-01 10:54

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of 42.3 CNY, compared to the current price of 34.35 CNY [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.99 billion CNY for Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 25%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 190 million CNY, up 77% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 148 million CNY, reflecting a 38% increase year-on-year [1]. - The growth in major clients and significant contributions from new clients led to record-high revenue. The company achieved a revenue of 760 million CNY in Q3 2024, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20% and a year-on-year increase of 18% [1]. - The net profit margin exceeded 10%, with a historical high net profit of 78 million CNY in Q3 2024, marking a quarter-on-quarter increase of 120% and a year-on-year increase of 47% [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 28.8% in Q3 2024, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.0 percentage points, attributed to an optimized customer structure and reduced pressure from raw material costs [1]. - The operating expense ratio was 16.2%, with a decrease in management fees and an increase in R&D expenses, indicating a focus on future projects [1]. - Government subsidies contributed 22 million CNY in Q3 2024, a significant increase from the previous quarter [1]. Market Expansion and Business Model - The automotive speaker market is expanding due to consumer upgrades, with the company holding a global market share of approximately 13% and being the leading player in the domestic market [2]. - The company is positioned as a pioneer in domestic substitution for high-end acoustic systems, having secured contracts with major automotive brands such as NIO and Li Auto [2]. - The business model is evolving from manufacturing individual components to system-level manufacturing and tuning services, enhancing barriers to entry and expected returns on investment [2]. Future Projections - The company's net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted to 274 million CNY, 339 million CNY, and 418 million CNY, respectively, with growth rates of 72%, 24%, and 24% [2]. - The target price for 2025 is set at 42.3 CNY, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 20 times [2].