QIANHE(603027) 华鑫证券·2024-11-05 10:21Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company's performance remains under pressure, with a focus on the effects of adjustments becoming evident [2] - Despite short-term competitive pressures, the company is expected to optimize its channel and organizational strategies, leading to market expansion and resource allocation becoming more precise [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.288 billion yuan, a decrease of 2% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 352 million yuan, down 9% year-on-year [2] - In Q3 2024, revenue was 699 million yuan, a decline of 13% year-on-year, with a net profit of 101 million yuan, down 23% year-on-year [2] - The gross profit margin in Q3 2024 increased by 1 percentage point to 37.54%, while the net profit margin decreased by 2 percentage points to 14.45% [2] Market Competition and Strategy - The seasoning market is facing intensified competition, with Q3 2024 revenue from soy sauce and vinegar declining by 14% and 16% respectively due to weak market demand [3] - Revenue by region in Q3 2024 showed declines in most areas, with the western region being the focus for future market development [3] - The company is expanding its direct sales channels and enhancing its marketing network, with the number of distributors increasing to 3,424 by the end of Q3 2024 [3] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted to 0.49, 0.56, and 0.64 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 25, 22, and 19 times [4] - The company is expected to continue expanding its scale despite short-term challenges, with a projected revenue growth rate of 0.8% in 2024 and 9.8% in 2025 [6]