CH ENERGY ENG(601868) 国泰君安·2024-11-06 05:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Energy Engineering Corporation (601868) is "Accumulate" with a target price of 2.96 CNY, maintaining the previous target price [3][4]. Core Views - The report indicates that the net profit for the first three quarters of 2024 increased by 17.28%, aligning with expectations, and the company is expected to benefit from the growth in new orders and the implementation of renewable energy projects [4]. - The controlling shareholder plans to increase their stake by 300 to 500 million CNY, reflecting confidence in the company's investment value [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 295.139 billion CNY, a growth of 3.44% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 3.604 billion CNY, an increase of 17.28% [4]. - The operating cash flow improved, with a net cash flow of -12.5 billion CNY compared to -14.7 billion CNY in the same period of 2023 [4]. - The expense ratio for the first three quarters was 8.31%, and the net profit margin was 1.22% [4]. Order Growth and Business Segments - New signed orders increased by 5.03% year-on-year, with traditional energy orders growing by 46.38% [4]. - The total new signed contracts for the first three quarters amounted to 941.5 billion CNY, with domestic orders at 718.2 billion CNY and international orders at 233.3 billion CNY [4][14]. - The engineering construction segment saw a slight increase of 0.69%, while industrial manufacturing surged by 128.79% [14]. Future Earnings Forecast - The report maintains earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024-2026 at 0.21, 0.24, and 0.28 CNY, representing growth rates of 12%, 14%, and 13% respectively [4]. - The projected revenue for 2024 is 453.229 billion CNY, with a net profit forecast of 8.96 billion CNY, reflecting a growth of 12.2% [5][12].