CNCB(601998) 湘财证券·2024-11-07 06:17Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [3]. Core Insights - The company's revenue growth has stabilized, with a year-on-year increase of 3.8% in operating income and a 0.8% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2024, marking a positive turnaround in net profit growth [2]. - The bank's total assets, loans, and deposits grew by 3.8%, 3.0%, and 2.8% year-on-year respectively, with significant growth in corporate loans, particularly in green loans and loans to strategic emerging industries [2]. - The net interest margin for the first three quarters was 1.79%, showing a slight improvement from the previous quarter, primarily due to a reduction in funding costs [2]. - Asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.17% and a provision coverage ratio of 216.00%, indicating strengthened risk mitigation capabilities [2]. - The bank's operating performance is expected to benefit from fiscal expansion policies, with projected net profit growth rates adjusted to 1.7%, 3.7%, and 5.0% for 2024 to 2026 [2]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company expects operating income of 205,896 million yuan, with a revenue growth rate of -2.6% [5]. - The projected net profit for 2024 is 68,124 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 1.7% [5]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.29 yuan for 2024, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.46 [5][7]. - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 9.18% in 2024, slightly decreasing over the following years [5][7].