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三花智控:预计汽零业务有望边际改善,机器人进程将加速
002050SANHUA(002050) 东方证券·2024-11-10 10:17

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 26.66 yuan [2][4]. Core Insights - The company's performance met expectations with a revenue of 20.563 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing an 8.4% year-on-year increase, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.302 billion yuan, up 6.6% year-on-year [1]. - The automotive parts business is expected to gradually improve, while the robot production process is accelerating, with Tesla's projected sales growth contributing positively to the company's revenue [1]. - The cooling and air conditioning business is anticipated to benefit from the old-for-new policy and the switch to new refrigerants in the U.S., which is expected to drive demand for related products [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters, the gross margin was 27.7%, a year-on-year increase of 0.2 percentage points, while the third quarter gross margin was 28.2%, a year-on-year decrease of 2.6 percentage points [1]. - The company forecasts net profits of 3.219 billion yuan, 3.918 billion yuan, and 4.567 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with a corresponding average PE ratio of 31 times for comparable companies in 2024 [2][3]. - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters was 1.993 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.7%, primarily due to increased employee compensation and tax payments [1].