MTM(688029) 兴业证券·2024-11-17 02:18Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company's products for early screening of digestive tract tumors are expected to benefit from increasing penetration and popularity of endoscopic diagnosis and treatment in China [5] - Channel expansion to grassroots levels is expected to raise the industry's growth ceiling [5] - New product lines, including visualization products, are expected to contribute to future performance growth [5] - Overseas revenue is expected to continue growing as the company improves its international product pipeline and marketing reforms [5] Financial Analysis - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of RMB 2.012 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.30% [6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 451 million, a year-on-year increase of 16.70% [6] - In Q3 2024, operating revenue was RMB 679 million, a year-on-year increase of 13.44% [6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company in Q3 2024 was RMB 141 million, a year-on-year increase of 15.06% [6] - Sales expenses in the first three quarters of 2024 were RMB 465 million, a year-on-year increase of 21.55%, with a sales expense ratio of 23.11%, an increase of 1.18 percentage points year-on-year [4] - Management expenses were RMB 249 million, a year-on-year increase of 10.10%, with a management expense ratio of 12.38%, a decrease of 0.59 percentage points year-on-year [4] - R&D expenses were RMB 112 million, a year-on-year increase of 8.74%, with an R&D expense ratio of 5.54%, a decrease of 0.34 percentage points year-on-year [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company's EPS for 2024-2026 is forecasted to be RMB 3.11, RMB 3.80, and RMB 4.62, respectively [5] - The corresponding P/E ratios are 25.0x, 20.4x, and 16.8x based on the closing price on November 11, 2024 [5] - Operating revenue is expected to grow by 15.1%, 20.8%, and 20.9% in 2024-2026, respectively [3] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow by 20.1%, 22.4%, and 21.5% in 2024-2026, respectively [3] - Gross margin is expected to be 66.6%, 66.7%, and 67.1% in 2024-2026, respectively [3] - ROE is expected to be 15.0%, 16.2%, and 17.2% in 2024-2026, respectively [3] Key Financial Indicators - Total assets in 2023 were RMB 4.566 billion, with net assets of RMB 3.731 billion [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) in 2023 was RMB 2.59 [3] - The company's P/E ratio in 2023 was 30.0x [3] - The company's net profit margin in 2023 was 20.2% [9] - The company's asset turnover ratio in 2023 was 58.2% [9]