Group 1 - The report highlights a significant divergence in the Hong Kong stock market, with technology and telecommunications sectors dragging down the Hang Seng Index, while other industries have shown positive returns. The Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Total Return Index has reached a historical high, and the relatively balanced Hong Kong Stock Connect Index has outperformed the A-share CSI 800 Index [2][13]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index has faced pressure from short sellers, exacerbated by multiple narratives, including concerns over tax policy adjustments and the potential disruption of AI on traditional business models, leading to a negative sentiment in the market [2][13]. Group 2 - The outlook suggests that the Hong Kong market may see an influx of foreign capital in 2026 due to the ongoing loose liquidity environment and the potential for the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates. Recent trends indicate a significant increase in net inflows from the Stock Connect program, particularly into technology stocks that have experienced substantial declines [3][24]. - Domestic investors are also accelerating their investments in Hong Kong stocks, taking advantage of market adjustments. The average daily net inflow from the Stock Connect has rebounded to a high level not seen since 2024, indicating renewed interest in the market [3][24]. Group 3 - The report recommends a strategy of combining "technology as a core holding + cyclical recovery + beta opportunities in dividends" to embrace the upcoming spring market. Current market sentiment is at a relatively low point, suggesting potential for a short-term rebound [4][31]. - Technology remains a long-term focus, with AI expected to be a key driver. The report notes that leading internet and application companies have already priced in pessimistic expectations, making them attractive for investment as they are near historical valuation lows [4][31]. Group 4 - The cyclical leaders in the Hong Kong market are expected to see improvements as the Chinese economy transitions towards "slower growth + increased efficiency." This shift is anticipated to enhance the competitive landscape and gradually restore profitability for leading companies in sectors such as chemicals, real estate, and machinery [4][34]. - The report emphasizes the importance of consumer data during the Spring Festival as a potential catalyst for market performance, particularly for consumer service leaders in sectors like gaming, dining, and travel [4][34]. Group 5 - The report identifies that the ongoing geopolitical landscape in 2026 is more favorable for Chinese assets, with the risk premium of the Hang Seng Index relative to 10-year U.S. Treasury yields being significantly higher than that of developed markets. This situation is expected to attract more foreign capital to Hong Kong stocks [5][22]. - A stable RMB is projected to enhance the attractiveness of RMB-denominated assets, with historical trends indicating that significant RMB appreciation often correlates with rising Hong Kong stock prices [5][22].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended (Maintain)" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the potential growth in the space photovoltaic sector driven by SpaceX's acquisition of xAI, which is expected to create significant demand for solar energy in space [9][18] - The AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) sector is experiencing a surge in capital expenditure from major cloud companies, indicating strong growth opportunities for related electrical equipment manufacturers [9][13] - The solid-state battery industry is advancing towards commercialization, with significant policy support and technological developments expected to enhance profitability and valuation in the lithium battery sector [17][18] - The energy storage sector is set to benefit from the newly implemented capacity pricing policy, which is anticipated to drive rapid growth in demand for energy storage solutions [19] - The wind power sector is witnessing significant overseas expansion, with Chinese companies successfully securing projects and increasing exports, particularly in the offshore wind segment [20][22] Summary by Sections AIDC Electrical Equipment - Continuous high growth in capital expenditure is observed, with major companies like Alphabet and Amazon significantly increasing their 2026 capital expenditure forecasts [9][13] - The demand for high-density power solutions is expected to rise, providing historical growth opportunities for domestic AIDC manufacturers [10][13] Robotics - The launch of the full-size humanoid robot "Bolt" and advancements in AI-driven robotics are expected to create new investment opportunities in the robotics sector [14] - Companies like Xiaomi and Huawei are positioned to leverage their existing technology in the robotics field, presenting potential investment avenues [14] Solid-State Batteries - The solid-state battery industry is moving towards mass production, with key technological breakthroughs and supportive policies expected to accelerate the commercialization process [17][18] - Companies with strong technological capabilities and production capacity in solid-state battery materials and equipment are likely to benefit [17] Photovoltaics and Energy Storage - The integration of space computing capabilities is projected to open new growth avenues for the photovoltaic industry, with significant investments planned by SpaceX and Tesla [18] - The newly established capacity pricing policy for energy storage is expected to enhance investment confidence and drive rapid growth in the sector [19] Wind Power - Chinese companies are making significant strides in overseas markets, particularly in offshore wind projects, with a notable increase in exports expected [20][22] - The wind power sector is anticipated to enter a new growth cycle, supported by favorable policies and technological advancements [20][22] Grid Investment - The State Grid's investment is set to increase significantly, marking the beginning of a new phase of high-quality development in China's grid infrastructure [21][22] - The demand for smart grid solutions is expected to rise, driven by the need for enhanced energy management and integration of renewable sources [21][22]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Recommended" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a continuous decline in pig prices and a slight decrease in chick prices, indicating a challenging market environment for livestock [2] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is projected to increase by 16% in 2024, which may impact overall agricultural pricing dynamics [2] - The report provides a detailed analysis of various agricultural sectors, including livestock, feed, and aquaculture, with specific price movements noted for each category [2][22] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Overview - The agricultural sector, particularly livestock, is experiencing price fluctuations, with pig prices at 12.05 yuan/kg, down by 1.63% [22] - Chick prices are reported at 2.80 yuan per chick, reflecting a decrease of 3.45% [22] Price Trends - The report notes a 5.15% decline in the price of broiler chickens, currently at 3.68 yuan per 500 grams [22] - The price of feed and other agricultural products is also analyzed, showing varying trends across different commodities [22] Market Performance - The report indicates that the agricultural sector has seen a decline of 0.59% compared to the broader market index, with specific stocks like Wen's Group and Muyuan Foods showing mixed performance [15] - The overall market sentiment remains cautious, with significant attention on price movements and their implications for future profitability [15][22]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is planning to repurchase shares, demonstrating confidence in its long-term development. The repurchase amount is set to be no less than RMB 1 billion and no more than RMB 2 billion, with a price cap not exceeding 150% of the average trading price over the previous 30 trading days [3] - The separation of the automotive business from the state-owned enterprise has been completed, upgrading the company to a first-level central enterprise. This restructuring is expected to enhance resource support for the company in areas such as new energy, intelligence, and globalization, thereby strengthening its long-term strategic advancement and core competitiveness [3] - The company has shown a steady revenue growth of 3.6% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with a total revenue of RMB 114.9 billion. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 14.7% year-on-year due to investments in new energy brands [3] - The investment suggestion highlights a clear trend of profitability improvement for three major new energy brands, alongside sustained high growth in overseas business, indicating a relatively high certainty of performance growth. Additionally, the robotics and flying car businesses are expected to provide valuation flexibility and open up long-term growth potential [3] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from RMB 159.73 billion in 2024 to RMB 225.10 billion in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.6%, 15.0%, 10.2%, and 11.2% respectively [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to recover from RMB 4.99 billion in 2025 to RMB 9.20 billion in 2027, reflecting growth rates of -31.8%, 43.0%, and 28.8% [3] - The gross margin is anticipated to improve gradually from 14.9% in 2024 to 15.9% in 2027 [3] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 6.1% in 2025 to 9.4% in 2027 [3] - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from RMB 0.50 in 2025 to RMB 0.93 in 2027 [3]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The bond market showed narrow fluctuations from February 2nd to February 6th, with the ultra-long end rising slightly and breaking the situation. The market is in a repeated game near key points, and the follow - up needs to focus on policy signals and the defense and offense of key points [1] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Capital Market - The capital market was generally balanced and loose. From February 2nd to February 6th, DR007 traded in the range of 1.26 - 1.59%, and the capital price declined slightly. The central bank had a net withdrawal of 656 billion yuan in total [1] 2. Primary Market - The demand was high, and the bidding sentiment for treasury bonds and China Development Bank bonds was good. From February 2nd to February 6th, the cumulative issuance of interest - rate bonds was 1.1607 trillion yuan, and the average daily issuance was at a relatively high level [1] 3. Secondary Market - The bond market fluctuated narrowly, with the short - end falling slightly, the long - end basically flat, and the ultra - long end rising slightly. The yield of the active 10 - year treasury bond 250022 decreased by 0.25bp in total during the week [1] 4. Term Spread - The yield curve showed a reverse trend, and the 10Y - 1Y term spread of treasury bonds narrowed. From February 2nd to February 6th, the 10Y - 1Y spread of treasury bonds decreased by 2.18bp to 49bp, and the 10Y - 1Y spread of China Development Bank bonds decreased by 0.88bp to 39bp [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The public - offering funds are important participants in the treasury bond futures market. In Q4 2025, the number of public - offering funds participating in treasury bond futures decreased marginally, but the participation degree was still at a historical high. Treasury bond futures played a role in managing interest - rate risks, stabilizing net - value fluctuations, and flexibly adjusting duration for public - offering products [6]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Public - Offering Fund Investment Scope Covering Treasury Bond Futures - As of January 25, 2026, 917 medium - and long - term pure - bond funds, about 43% of the total, had treasury bond futures in their investment scope; 251 short - term pure - bond funds, about 68% of the total, also included it. Additionally, 226 first - tier bond funds, 515 second - tier bond funds, and 594 partial - debt hybrid funds had treasury bond futures in their investment scope [11]. - Since 2021, the proportion of newly established medium - and long - term pure - bond funds and short - term pure - bond funds with treasury bond futures in their investment scope has been increasing [12]. - As of February 1, 2026, 40 out of 53 bond ETFs had treasury bond futures in their investment scope, and all newly listed bond ETFs in 2025 covered treasury bond futures [22]. 3.2 Q4 2025: Marginal Decrease in the Number of Public - Offering Funds Participating in the Treasury Bond Futures Market - In Q4 2025, 362 public - offering funds (incomplete statistics) participated in the treasury bond futures market, 51 fewer than in Q3 2025, possibly due to the decreasing duration of public - offering bond funds after September 2025, reducing the need for hedging with treasury bond futures [28]. - Among them, there were 118 medium - and long - term pure - bond funds (15 fewer than Q3), 49 short - term pure - bond funds (15 fewer), 45 partial - debt hybrid funds (8 fewer), 58 first - tier hybrid bond funds (9 fewer), 83 second - tier hybrid bond funds (2 more), 6 flexible - allocation funds (4 fewer), and 3 index bond funds (the same as Q3) [28]. 3.3 Improvement of Maximum Drawdown and Annualized Volatility Indicators for Products Participating in Treasury Bond Futures - In Q4 2025, more than half of the public - offering products participating in treasury bond futures had better maximum drawdown and annualized volatility indicators than the industry average, indicating that treasury bond futures played a role in managing interest - rate risks and promoting net - value stability. This conclusion also holds for pure - bond products [34]. - In the long run, participating in treasury bond futures can still improve the maximum drawdown and annualized volatility of products, and the effect on improving annualized volatility is more stable [36]. 3.4 Sample Analysis of Public - Offering Funds Holding Treasury Bond Futures at the End of the Quarter - At the end of Q4 2025, there were 113 public - offering funds disclosing treasury bond futures positions (28 fewer than the end of Q3). Among them, 39 funds bought treasury bond futures (22 fewer), 55 sold (7 fewer), and 15 had cross - variety transactions (2 more). The proportion of public - offering funds holding long positions in treasury bond futures decreased [45]. - For public - offering products, treasury bond futures can flexibly adjust duration, mainly to reduce it. As of the end of 2025, for products with a scale of ≥ 500 million yuan, the proportion of the contract value of treasury bond futures held by public - offering funds to the total value of bonds held by the funds was between - 20% and 8.1%, with a median of about - 0.5%; the impact on portfolio duration was between - 3.4 and + 1.01, with a median of about - 0.07 [51]. - For medium - and long - term pure - bond funds at the end of Q4 2025, the number of bought treasury bond futures contracts increased slightly compared to the end of Q3, and the number of sold contracts decreased significantly [52]. - For short - term pure - bond funds at the end of Q4 2025, the number of bought treasury bond futures contracts decreased significantly compared to the end of Q3, and the number of sold contracts increased significantly. For products with a scale of ≥ 500 million yuan, the proportion of the contract value of treasury bond futures held by public - offering funds to the total value of bonds held by the funds was between - 4.8% and 1.8%, with a median of about - 0.8%; the impact on portfolio duration was between - 0.51 and + 0.08, with a median of about - 0.06 [60].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Recommended" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a continuous decline in pig prices while chick prices have seen an increase [2] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December 2025 shows a year-on-year increase of 16% [2] - The report indicates significant price fluctuations in various agricultural products, with specific attention to the livestock sector [2][29] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The agricultural sector, particularly livestock, is experiencing varied price movements, with pig prices at 12.25 yuan/kg, down 4.97% [29] - Chick prices have increased to 3.88 yuan/500g, reflecting a rise of 2.92% [29] Price Trends - The report notes a 11.54% increase in chick prices, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [29] - The report also provides a detailed analysis of price changes in grains and oils, with domestic corn priced at 2271.43 yuan/ton, showing a 0.25% increase [22] Valuation Levels - As of January 30, 2026, the TTM (Trailing Twelve Months) P/E ratio for the industry is reported at 21.52, indicating a valuation perspective [18] - The report compares the agricultural sector's valuation against historical averages, suggesting potential investment opportunities [19] Important Announcements - The report includes significant announcements related to price changes and market conditions, emphasizing the importance of monitoring these trends for investment decisions [20]

Group 1: Federal Reserve Meeting Insights - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%, aligning with market expectations, resulting in minimal market volatility[1] - Powell's press conference conveyed a dovish tone, indicating that the risks of inflation rising and employment declining have diminished[1] - The language in the meeting statement was upgraded from "moderate" to "robust" regarding economic expansion, reflecting increased optimism about the economic outlook[1] Group 2: Economic Conditions and Risks - The current economic data suggests a stable job market, with the unemployment rate showing signs of stabilization[1] - There is a potential for unexpected rate cuts if inflation remains stable and employment data weakens, influenced by political pressures and the upcoming nomination of a new Fed chair[1] - Risks include persistent inflation exceeding expectations and a potential downturn in economic resilience[1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is Neutral (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a positive shift in policies aimed at improving and stabilizing the real estate market, with expectations for further policy changes that could create investment opportunities in the sector [3][41] - The report tracks the transaction volume of new and second-hand homes across 15 cities, noting a week-on-week increase in transaction area but a year-on-year decline [4] - The report emphasizes the government's commitment to supporting urban renewal initiatives and promoting high-quality development in the real estate sector [4] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The total transaction area for new and second-hand homes in 15 cities reached 3.081 million square meters, with a week-on-week increase of 6.5% but a year-on-year decrease of 10.1% [4] - Cumulative transaction area for January shows a month-on-month decline of 11.6% and a year-on-year decline of 22.7% [4] Policy Developments - On January 20, the Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development issued measures to further support urban renewal actions [4] - The Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development indicated a focus on high-quality development in the real estate sector, aiming to stabilize the market and enhance housing supply [4] Company Announcements - Poly Development expects a net profit of 1.03 billion yuan for 2025, a decrease of 79.49% year-on-year [4] - China State Construction Development anticipates a net loss of between 284 million and 423 million yuan for 2025 [4] - Vanke A has withdrawn applications for three real estate investment trust fund projects [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is Neutral (maintained) [1] Core Insights - In December 2025, China's textile product exports weakened again, with yarn, fabrics, and products amounting to USD 12.58 billion, down 4.2% year-on-year; clothing and accessories exports were USD 13.41 billion, down 10.2%; and footwear exports were USD 3.91 billion, down 17.4% [2] - The recent stability of the RMB exchange rate has alleviated concerns about rapid appreciation, suggesting a focus on quality OEM companies such as Huali Group, leading auxiliary material supplier Weixing Co., and steadily expanding Kai Run Co. [2] - The report highlights a significant increase in wool auction prices due to strong demand, with the Eastern Market Index (EMI) for Australian wool rising by 107 Australian cents/kg [2] - The report suggests monitoring companies like New Australia Co. and Baolong Oriental, which have high dividend intentions, as well as Taihua New Materials, which may benefit from anti-involution policies in the chemical industry [2] Summary by Sections Section 1: Market Review - The textile and apparel sector underperformed against the CSI 300 index, with the Jiangsu textile index declining by 0.82% compared to a 0.57% drop in the CSI 300, resulting in a 0.25 percentage point underperformance [9] Section 2: Major Raw Material Prices and Industry Tracking (1) Major Raw Material Price Trends - As of January 16, 2026, cotton prices were at CNY 16,002/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.09%; polyester POY was CNY 6,700/ton, up 2.29%; and nylon POY remained stable at CNY 11,600/ton [21][23] (2) Export Data Tracking - In December 2025, China's textile exports were USD 12.58 billion, down 4.2% year-on-year; clothing exports were USD 13.41 billion, down 10.2%; and footwear exports were USD 3.91 billion, down 17.4% [29][31] - Vietnam's textile exports in December 2025 reached USD 3.65 billion, up 8.4% year-on-year, while footwear exports were USD 2.20 billion, up 4.3% [35][37] (3) Domestic and Overseas Apparel Consumption Tracking - In November 2025, China's retail sales growth was 1.3%, with apparel and footwear sales growing by 3.5% [39] - In October 2025, U.S. apparel wholesale inventory was USD 28.04 billion, with a stock-to-sales ratio of 2.04 [40]