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建筑材料行业周报:施工旺季临近,关注建材提价行情
兴业证券· 2025-03-17 07:02
行业周报 | 建筑材料 证券研究报告 行业评级 推荐(维持) 报告日期 2025 年 03 月 16 日 【兴证建材】周观点:淡季静待政策发酵, 关注行业底部机遇-2024.12.24 【兴证建材】周观点:地产利好政策持续 发力,关注玻璃底部机会-2024.12.15 S0190522100003 投资要点: 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 1/28 分析师:季贤东 jixiandong@xyzq.com.cn 施工旺季临近,关注建材提价行情 地产贝塔因素更为积极,积极布局零售建材先手。我们认为,随着新一轮地产利好政策 持续加码,对建材业绩至关重要的贝塔因素已经转向。从长期维度来看,消费建材龙头 企业依托渠道结构优化+零售品类拓展,实现经营质量和市场份额的持续提升,或将在 未来存量为主的市场中铸就长牛基础。基于此,我们认为消费建材拐点已现,建议积极 布局以获先手。从竞争格局来看,在零售市场占主导地位的消费建材龙头有望长期制胜, 推荐三棵树、东鹏控股、兔宝宝,建议关注北新建材、东方雨虹、伟星新材。 2024 年,水泥需求延续去年下滑态势,供需矛盾持续加剧,水泥价格重心继续下移。 展望 2025 年,我们认为,在地 ...
房地产行业新房二手房周报:深圳提高住房公积金贷款额度,两部门联合发文明确收储细则
兴业证券· 2025-03-17 07:01
行业周报 | 房地产 证券研究报告 相关研究 【兴证地产】2025 年 2 月房地产行业回 顾:小阳春如期而至-2025.03.12 【兴证地产】新房二手房周报:政府工作 报告三处提及稳住楼市相关表述 -2025.03.09 【兴证地产】专项债收购存量闲置土地进 展跟踪-2025.03.05 S0190520080003 jinluyu@xyzq.com.cn 分析师:洪波 S0190523040002 hongbo@xyzq.com.cn 行业评级 中性(维持) 报告日期 2025 年 03 月 16 日 新房二手房周报:深圳提高住房公积金贷款额 度,两部门联合发文明确收储细则 投资要点: 投资建议:"止跌回稳"成为地产核心逻辑,我们认为地产基本面将迎来长期持续修复。看 好地产板块配置机会。推荐保利发展、招商蛇口、滨江集团、华发股份,建议关注金地集 团等。 风险提示:政策落地不及预期,基本面恢复不及预期,风险化解不及预期。 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 1/14 分析师:靳璐瑜 我们跟踪 15 个城市新房+二手房合计成交面积:本周成交面积 374.9 万方,环比 +2.9%,同比+34.6%。3 月以来,新 ...
电力设备行业周报:英伟达年度GTC大会在即,有望助力AIDC电气景气度
兴业证券· 2025-03-17 07:01
| 行业评级 | 推荐(维持) | | --- | --- | | 报告日期 | 2025 年 03 月 16 日 | 相关研究 【兴证电新】继续深耕三大未来产业— —固态电池、AIDC 电气、人形机器人- 2025.03.09 【兴证电新】积极布局固态电池、AIDC 电气、人形机器人三条主线-2025.03.02 【兴证海外新能源】行业跟踪报告:光 伏供给侧有望出清,行业拐点可期- 2025.02.24 行业周报 | 电力设备 证券研究报告 分析师:王帅 S0190521110001 wangshuai21@xyzq.com.cn 分析师:武圣豪 S0190524030007 wushenghao@xyzq.com.cn 英伟达年度 GTC 大会在即,有望助力 AIDC 电气景气度 投资要点: 推荐标的 | AIDC 电气设备 明阳电气、金盘科技、科士达 | | | --- | --- | | 机器人 | 科达利 | | 锂电 | 宁德时代、亿纬锂能、科达利、中伟股份、璞泰来、特锐德、厦钨新能 | | 电力设备 | 许继电气、平高电气、中国西电、思源电气、明阳电气、望变电气 | | 光伏 | 通威股份,阿特 ...
房地产新房二手房周报:深圳提高住房公积金贷款额度,两部门联合发文明确收储细则-2025-03-17
兴业证券· 2025-03-17 06:59
行业周报 | 房地产 证券研究报告 相关研究 【兴证地产】2025 年 2 月房地产行业回 顾:小阳春如期而至-2025.03.12 【兴证地产】新房二手房周报:政府工作 报告三处提及稳住楼市相关表述 -2025.03.09 【兴证地产】专项债收购存量闲置土地进 展跟踪-2025.03.05 S0190520080003 jinluyu@xyzq.com.cn 分析师:洪波 S0190523040002 hongbo@xyzq.com.cn 行业评级 中性(维持) 报告日期 2025 年 03 月 16 日 新房二手房周报:深圳提高住房公积金贷款额 度,两部门联合发文明确收储细则 投资要点: 投资建议:"止跌回稳"成为地产核心逻辑,我们认为地产基本面将迎来长期持续修复。看 好地产板块配置机会。推荐保利发展、招商蛇口、滨江集团、华发股份,建议关注金地集 团等。 风险提示:政策落地不及预期,基本面恢复不及预期,风险化解不及预期。 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 1/14 分析师:靳璐瑜 我们跟踪 15 个城市新房+二手房合计成交面积:本周成交面积 374.9 万方,环比 +2.9%,同比+34.6%。3 月以来,新 ...
唯捷创芯(688153):国内射频PA龙头,Wi-FiFEM打开成长空间
兴业证券· 2025-03-16 05:12
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [1] Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading domestic player in the RF power amplifier module market, focusing on the research, design, and sales of RF front-end chips, with products widely used in various wireless communication-enabled devices [3][5][7] - The RF front-end market is steadily growing, with the company expected to benefit from the increasing demand for high-end RF modules and the transition to advanced solutions like Phase8 [4][20] - The company is actively expanding its Wi-Fi FEM product line, which is anticipated to gain traction due to the rising demand for AI applications [41][47] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in RF front-end chip development, with a primary focus on RF power amplifier modules, RF switch chips, and Wi-Fi RF front-end modules [5][9] - Key clients include major smartphone brands such as Xiaomi, OPPO, and vivo, as well as leading ODM manufacturers [7][9] Market Analysis - The RF front-end market exceeded USD 19.2 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 26.9 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 5.8% [4][20] - The company is positioned to capture a growing market share in high-end RF modules, particularly with its new L-PAMiF and L-PAMiD products [4][40] Financial Performance - The company is expected to achieve revenues of CNY 21.03 million, CNY 25.30 million, and CNY 29.32 million for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding net profits of CNY -24 million, CNY 54 million, and CNY 88 million [4][51] - The gross margin is projected to improve from 24.50% in 2024 to 26.02% in 2026 as the company continues to enhance its product offerings [50] Product Development - The company has successfully launched its new generation of low-voltage L-PAMiF modules, which have shown significant advantages in reducing system costs for clients [40] - The Wi-Fi FEM product line is expanding, with plans to introduce new products targeting AI applications in various consumer electronics by Q2 2025 [41][48]
乌克兰重建,哪些建筑企业有望受益
兴业证券· 2025-03-16 03:30
【兴证建筑】周观点:专项债和赤字率 提升,基建投资稳健增长可期 (2025.3.1-2025.3.7)-2025.03.09 行业点评报告 | 建筑装饰 证券研究报告 行业评级 推荐(维持) 报告日期 2025 年 03 月 13 日 相关研究 分析师:李明 S0190524060003 liming22@xyzq.com.cn 乌克兰重建,哪些建筑企业有望受益 投资要点: 【兴证建筑】周观点:"化债"再融资专 项债发行超万亿,项目资金到位率持续 改善(2025.2.22-2025.2.28)- 2025.03.02 【兴证建筑】周观点:俄乌冲突缓和信 号不断,利好国际工程企业(2025.2.15- 2025.2.21)-2025.02.23 分析师:黄杨 S0190518070004 huangyang@xyzq.com.cn 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 1/7 ⚫ 2025 年,俄乌释放和谈积极信号,预期俄乌冲突结束曙光初现。当地时间 2 月 12 日, 俄罗斯总统普京与美国总统特朗普举行电话会谈,重点讨论乌克兰局势调解及双边关 系。随后,美俄代表团在沙特利雅得会晤,达成四点共识,旨在解决两国间"棘手问 ...
人形机器人系列研究报告:宇树科技机器人复盘专题
兴业证券· 2025-03-16 03:28
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the investment potential of Yushu Technology, highlighting the growth trend in the domestic humanoid robot market and related investment opportunities in the supply chain [2]. Core Insights - Yushu Technology has evolved from a student project to a leading global humanoid robot company, with a focus on high-performance quadrupedal and humanoid robot development, achieving over 60% global market share in quadrupedal robots by 2023 [2][11]. - The company emphasizes a self-research and development model combined with practical business applications and low-cost production, creating a positive feedback loop that enhances its competitive advantages [2][20]. - The next phase for Yushu Technology involves transitioning humanoid robots from specialized to general industrial applications, with ongoing collaborations to gather real-world data for training [2][31]. Summary by Sections Yushu Technology: From Student Project to Global Leader - The company was founded in 2016 and quickly filled a market gap with its quadrupedal robots, achieving significant sales and recognition [11][30]. - By 2023, Yushu's quadrupedal robots held a 40.65% market share in China, with a global shipment share of 69.75% [31]. Company Advantages - Yushu Technology's competitive edge lies in its self-developed hardware, practical business strategies, and cost advantages, which create a virtuous cycle of growth and innovation [20][36]. - The core team, primarily composed of graduates from top universities, drives rapid commercialization through strong research capabilities [23][28]. Future Outlook - The company aims to enhance the versatility of humanoid robots in industrial settings, focusing on data collection and real-world application to achieve commercial viability [2][31]. - Yushu Technology's humanoid robots, such as the G1, are priced significantly lower than competitors like Tesla's Optimus, showcasing a strong market position [20][36].
调味品专题:价格探底,价值重估
兴业证券· 2025-03-16 03:28
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended (Maintain)" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the condiment sector is transitioning from a growth driven by price increases and cost resonance to a focus on "quality-price ratio" competition due to weakened restaurant demand and increased consumer price sensitivity [3][4] - The report highlights that the condiment industry has experienced a significant valuation drop, with current valuations around 25.3x, a 52% decrease from the 2016-2023 average, suggesting that negative factors have largely been cleared [3][4] - The report emphasizes the importance of head companies maintaining their advantages and the cultivation of new consumption scenarios to enhance demand recovery [3][4] Summary by Sections I. Changes and Constants in the Condiment Sector - The pre-pandemic growth in the condiment sector was primarily driven by the expansion of the restaurant industry, which accounted for 45% of the condiment market in 2016 [11] - Post-pandemic, the capacity of the restaurant sector has contracted, leading to a shift in demand towards household consumption, which, while lower in volume, has a higher average spending [24][27] - The report notes a significant slowdown in the entry of new companies into the market, indicating a shift from incremental competition to stock competition [31][32] II. Investment Recommendations - The report concludes that the sector has completed its bottoming process in terms of performance, expectations, and valuations, with a focus on the recovery of the restaurant sector and cost catalysts as future drivers [42][46] - It suggests monitoring two main directions: the sustained advantages of leading companies and the enhancement of demand through new consumption scenarios [46] - The report recommends several companies, including Zhongju Gaoxin and Haitian Flavor Industry, which have national brands, and highlights the potential of companies like Qianhe Flavor Industry and Tianwei Food [48][49]
轻工AI+专题(一):AI风口到来,轻工领域有哪些投资机遇?
兴业证券· 2025-03-16 03:27
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended (Maintain)" [1] Core Viewpoints - The light industry sector is expected to become a significant node in the AI industry chain, with various sub-sectors such as eyewear and toys already implementing AI applications. Companies deeply involved in the AI supply chain are likely to benefit from future industry growth [9][3] - Specific sub-sectors benefiting from AI include eyewear, mattresses, sports, and toys, which are recommended for investment focus [3][9] Summary by Sections AI Eyewear - AI eyewear is entering a product explosion phase, with significant market potential driven by products like Ray Ban Meta, which achieved impressive sales figures [10][17] - The global sales of AI eyewear are projected to reach 1.52 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 533%, with expectations to double to 3.5 million units in 2025 [19][21] - The market is dominated by overseas sales, with domestic sales expected to increase significantly post-2024 [22][19] AI Mattresses - AI mattresses integrate AI technology to monitor sleep data and adjust mattress properties for personalized comfort, addressing growing sleep issues in modern society [38][42] - The global AI mattress market was valued at approximately $1.7 billion in 2023, with a projected CAGR of 5.6% from 2024 to 2030 [46][48] - The market is competitive, with numerous players including traditional mattress companies and startups, indicating a dynamic growth environment [49][50] AI Sports and Fitness - The AI sports fitness model targets both C-end consumers and B-end gyms, offering personalized training plans and real-time monitoring through AI technology [54][58] - The Chinese smart fitness market is expected to grow rapidly, with projections estimating a market size of approximately 82 billion yuan by 2025 [68][69] - AI fitness solutions are gaining traction due to their cost-effectiveness compared to traditional personal training, making them appealing to a broader audience [69][68] AI Toys - AI toys enhance user experience through interactive features, with a growing market driven by demand for innovative and engaging products [4][31] - The global AI toy market was valued at approximately $12.7 billion in 2023, with North America being the largest market [31][23] - The market is characterized by rapid product development and a focus on emotional interaction and learning capabilities [4][31]
轻工制造轻工AI+专题():AI风口到来,轻工领域有哪些投资机遇?
兴业证券· 2025-03-16 03:21
行业跟踪报告 | 轻工制造 证券研究报告 | 行业评级 | 推荐(维持) | | --- | --- | | 报告日期 | 2025 年 03 月 14 日 | 相关研究 【兴证轻工】家居行业专题报告(二): AI 赋能家居设计春风起-2025.02.13 分析师:林寰宇 S0190524080006 linhuanyu@xyzq.com.cn 研究助理:储天舒 chutianshu1@xyzq.com.cn 轻工 AI+专题(()):AI 风口到来,轻工领域 有哪些投资机遇? 投资要点: ⚫ 风险提示:AI 模型发展不及预期、行业竞争加剧、消费需求不及预期 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 1/26 ⚫ 轻工板块会成为 AI 产业链里面的重要节点之一。首先,轻工行业细分领域较多,例如 眼镜、玩具等多个领域均已率先落地 AI 应用。其次,在 AI 产业链中,轻工行业也在生 产和渠道端起到至关重要的作用,部分企业深度参与 AI 供应链,有望充分受益于未来 行业成长。具体来看,我们认为眼镜、床垫、体育、玩具是目前 AI 受益的细分子板块, 建议关注。 ⚫ AI 眼镜:AI 眼镜是一种集成了 AI 技术的智能眼镜,目前 ...