ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT(300308) 高盛·2025-01-09 07:52Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ), indicating a positive outlook based on several driving factors in early 2025 [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights multiple catalysts for the company in the first two months of 2025, including strong AI capital expenditure guidance from clients and the successful rollout of 1.6T products, which are expected to continue throughout the year [1]. - The current stock price corresponds to a 14x expected P/E ratio for 2025, which is considered attractive compared to global peers trading at a 30% to 50% premium [1]. - Concerns regarding tariff risks, new technologies (CPO), and competition from active electrical cables (AEC) are noted, but the report suggests that these risks are already factored into the recent stock price correction [6][7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Zhongji Xuchuang is the largest optical module supplier in China's data communication market, benefiting from its leading position in the 800G/1.6T optical module market, which is crucial for AI and data center development [8]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of RMB 24.475 billion for 2024 and RMB 37.430 billion for 2025, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [12]. - The report anticipates a net income of RMB 10.352 billion for 2025, with an EPS of RMB 9.23, indicating strong profitability [12]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for optical modules driven by AI applications, with a strong execution capability in capacity expansion and new product development [8]. - The report emphasizes that the company maintains a competitive edge through its established supply chain and relationships with major cloud service providers [8]. Price Target - The 12-month price target for Zhongji Xuchuang is set at RMB 240, representing an upside potential of 87% from the current price of RMB 128.35 [9].