SRBC(600039) 国盛证券·2025-02-22 10:20Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Sichuan Road and Bridge (600039.SH) [6] Core Views - The company has increased its minimum cash dividend payout ratio from 50% to 60%, enhancing its high dividend investment value [1] - The core drivers for maintaining a high dividend rate include its role as a profit center for the major shareholder, Shudao Group, and the supportive policies from the Sichuan government aimed at promoting high-quality development in the capital market [2] - Sichuan's infrastructure investment is expected to remain robust, with plans to double the highway network by 2035, which will provide a steady stream of high-quality orders for the company [3] Financial Summary - The projected net profits for 2024-2026 are 79 billion, 84 billion, and 89 billion respectively, with year-on-year changes of -12.2%, +6.6%, and +6.1% [3] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2024-2026 are estimated at 7.7, 7.2, and 6.8 times [3] - The expected dividend rates for 2024-2026 are 50%, 60%, and 60%, leading to projected dividend yields of 6.5%, 8.3%, and 8.8% respectively [3] Financial Indicators - The company's revenue for 2022 was 135.151 billion, with a projected decline to 104.623 billion in 2024, followed by a slight recovery to 110.256 billion in 2025 [5] - The net profit for 2022 was 11.212 billion, expected to decrease to 7.906 billion in 2024, and then increase to 8.431 billion in 2025 [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 0.91, with a gradual increase to 1.03 by 2026 [5]