HKEX(00388) 东吴证券·2025-02-28 00:22Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388.HK) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Hong Kong Exchanges achieved record high annual and quarterly performance, driven by increased trading activity due to economic stimulus measures in mainland China [7] - The report projects continued growth in trading volumes and revenues, with significant increases in both the cash and derivatives markets [7] - The earnings forecast has been revised upwards, with expected shareholder profits for 2025 and 2026 at HKD 149.34 billion and HKD 156.73 billion respectively, reflecting growth rates of 14% and 5% [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, total revenue reached HKD 22,374 million, a year-on-year increase of 9% [7] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 13,050 million, up 10% year-on-year [7] - The fourth quarter alone saw revenue of HKD 63.81 billion, a 31% increase year-on-year, and net profit of HKD 37.8 billion, up 46% year-on-year [7] Trading Volume and Market Activity - The average daily trading volume in the cash market increased by 26% to HKD 1,318 billion [7] - The Northbound and Southbound trading under the Stock Connect saw average daily trading volumes of HKD 1,502 billion and HKD 482 billion, representing increases of 39% and 55% respectively [7] - The report notes that the derivatives market also experienced growth, with average daily contract volumes reaching a historical high of 1.55 million contracts, up 15% year-on-year [7] Revenue Breakdown - The cash segment generated revenue of HKD 94.22 billion, a 15.4% increase, accounting for 42% of total revenue [7] - The derivatives segment reported revenue of HKD 62.04 billion, a decrease of 5% due to increased interest rebates for certain contracts [7] - The commodities segment saw revenue of HKD 27.88 billion, up 27% year-on-year [7] Future Projections - The report anticipates continued strong performance, with projected revenues for 2025 and 2026 at HKD 25,538 million and HKD 27,058 million respectively [1] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 are HKD 11.78 and HKD 12.36 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 30.99x and 29.53x [1]