Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [8]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in the automotive bearing market, focusing on the aftermarket and has a strong presence in overseas markets, particularly in North America and Europe [8][16]. - The company has a robust product matrix with over 6,000 models, catering to both traditional and new energy vehicles, which positions it well for future growth [8][36]. - The company is expanding into the robotics components sector, which is expected to become a significant growth driver, with projections indicating potential revenue exceeding 2 billion yuan by 2030 [8][36]. Summary by Sections 1. Overseas Aftermarket Leader, Specializing in Bearing Manufacturing - The company has been dedicated to automotive bearing R&D, manufacturing, and sales since its establishment in 2004, focusing on the overseas aftermarket [16]. - The company has seen its revenue grow from 240 million yuan in 2018 to 738 million yuan in 2023, with a CAGR of 25% [23][24]. 2. Vast Aftermarket Potential, Highlighting Opportunities in Main Bearings - The global aftermarket is valued at approximately 408.49 billion USD in 2022, with expectations for growth to 527.25 billion USD by 2030 [37]. - North America holds the largest share of the aftermarket, accounting for about 31.9% of the total market [37]. 3. Steady Progress in Overseas Markets, Expanding High-End Bearings - The company has increased its overseas revenue share from 41% in 2018 to 69% in 2023, driven by strategic acquisitions and market expansion [31][36]. - The company has optimized its customer structure, enhancing its presence in the North American aftermarket [36]. 4. Entering the Robotics Supply Chain, Cultivating a Second Growth Curve - The company plans to establish a robotics components division in 2024, focusing on the development of harmonic reducers and other core components [8][36]. - The global humanoid robot market is expected to exceed 1 million units by 2027, presenting significant growth opportunities for the company [8][36]. 5. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.81 billion yuan, 2.21 billion yuan, and 2.57 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 78, 64, and 55 [8][36].
斯菱股份：轴承龙头掘金车后市场，谐波新锐扬帆人形蓝海-20250311