Shenergy(600642) 东吴证券·2025-03-18 11:00Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a benchmark for high dividends in thermal power, with a strong focus on core assets in quality regions. It has a diversified energy supply business, primarily engaged in electricity and oil and gas operations [9][17]. - The company has a robust financial outlook, with projected net profits increasing from 39.8 billion yuan in 2024 to 41.4 billion yuan in 2026, corresponding to a P/E ratio of 11.1, 11.0, and 10.7 respectively [9][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Diversified Business Operations - The company operates in both electricity and oil and gas sectors, with thermal power maintaining a high proportion of its operations while renewable energy contributes incrementally [17][19]. - As of Q4 2024, the company's installed capacity reached 17.96 million kilowatts, with coal power accounting for 8.4 million kilowatts, representing 46.8% of the total capacity [19][21]. 2. Thermal Power Positioning - The company benefits from strong electricity demand in Shanghai, with a projected GDP growth of 5% in 2024, leading to an expected electricity consumption of 198.4 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of over 7% [51][58]. - The company’s thermal power generation capacity in Shanghai is significant, with 71.5% of its controlled capacity located in the region, ensuring a stable supply amidst limited new installations [47][49]. 3. Renewable Energy Expansion - The company is actively expanding its renewable energy portfolio, with renewable energy accounting for 34% of its total installed capacity by the end of 2024 [9][11]. - New projects in wind and solar energy are expected to contribute to the grid by 2025, including a 2GW solar project in Xinjiang and a 0.6GW offshore wind project in Hainan [9][11]. 4. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company reported a revenue of 29.142 billion yuan in 2023, a 3.36% increase year-on-year, with net profit soaring to 3.459 billion yuan, a 219.52% increase due to falling coal prices [21][30]. - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio, with a dividend yield of 6.23% in 2023, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [40][41].