HIKVISION(002415) 华创证券·2025-02-27 11:24Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Hikvision, with a target price of 38.75 CNY [2][10]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 92.49 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.52%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15.23% to 11.96 billion CNY [2][9]. - The company is focusing on integrating AI and perception technologies to enhance product competitiveness and facilitate digital transformation across various industries [9][10]. - Hikvision's major shareholder plans to increase their stake by 300 to 500 million CNY, and the company has announced a share buyback plan of 2 to 2.5 billion CNY, reflecting confidence in future growth [9][10]. - The revenue forecast for 2024-2026 is adjusted to 92.49 billion CNY, 100.39 billion CNY, and 109.69 billion CNY, with corresponding growth rates of 3.5%, 8.5%, and 9.3% respectively. The net profit forecast is set at 11.96 billion CNY, 14.27 billion CNY, and 16.13 billion CNY, with growth rates of -15.2%, 19.3%, and 13.1% respectively [9][10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 was 89.34 billion CNY, with a projected increase to 92.49 billion CNY in 2024, and further growth to 100.39 billion CNY in 2025 [4][10]. - The net profit for 2023 was 14.11 billion CNY, expected to decline to 11.96 billion CNY in 2024, before recovering to 14.27 billion CNY in 2025 [4][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.30 CNY for 2024, increasing to 1.55 CNY in 2025 and 1.75 CNY in 2026 [4][10].