非银金融行业周报：政策预期强化，看好非银板块-2025-03-12

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the non-bank financial sector, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's performance relative to the market [3]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strengthening of policy expectations, which is anticipated to boost the non-bank financial sector. The government work report has highlighted the importance of stabilizing the real estate and stock markets, signaling a significant enhancement in the capital market's role [5][8]. - The report suggests that the gradual implementation of policies will likely stabilize the economy, enhance investor confidence, and lead to increased market activity and valuation recovery in the non-bank sector [5][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Securities Business Overview and Weekly Review - The government work report has elevated the importance of the capital market, explicitly mentioning the need to stabilize the real estate and stock markets. This marks a new level of focus on capital market reforms [8]. - The report outlines specific reforms aimed at enhancing the investment and financing mechanisms within the capital market, including promoting long-term capital inflows and optimizing stock issuance and merger regulations [8]. - The report notes that the securities sector's PB valuation stands at 1.41 times, which is at the 86th percentile of its historical range over the past three years [13]. 2. Insurance Business Overview and Weekly Review - The report highlights the upcoming implementation of long-term capital assessment policies, which are expected to enhance the participation of insurance funds in long-term equity investments, thereby stabilizing the capital market [28]. - It mentions that since September 2024, various long-term funds have significantly increased their holdings in A-shares, contributing to a 22% growth in the market value of long-term capital [28]. - The expansion of the financial asset investment company's (AIC) equity investment scope is expected to attract more social capital and enhance the support for technology innovation and private enterprises [29]. 3. Market Liquidity Tracking - The report indicates that the central bank conducted a net withdrawal of 8,813 billion yuan in the open market during the week, with a significant amount of reverse repos maturing [40]. - It also notes a decrease in short-term funding rates, with the weighted average interest rate for interbank borrowing at 1.94% [46]. 4. Industry News - The report discusses various developments in the securities industry, including the ongoing integration of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities, which has received regulatory approval [56]. - It highlights the government's focus on enhancing the quality and efficiency of the capital market, with specific actions aimed at improving investor returns and promoting long-term investment strategies [56].