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奥多比(ADBE):产品&战略升级,AIARR25年或翻倍
ADBEAdobe(ADBE) 华泰证券·2025-03-15 07:17

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Adobe (ADBE US) with a target price of 506.44[8][9].CoreInsightsAdobesFY25Q1revenuereached506.44 [8][9]. Core Insights - Adobe's FY25Q1 revenue reached 5.714 billion, a year-over-year increase of 10%, exceeding the consensus estimate by 1.0%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.811billion,up311.811 billion, up 31% year-over-year, surpassing the consensus estimate by 8.3% [1]. - The company's AI-driven product sales have significantly contributed to revenue growth, with AI product ARR exceeding 125 million in FY25Q1 and expected to double by FY2025 [2]. - The introduction of tiered subscription pricing for AI products, including Firefly Standard, Pro, and Premium, is anticipated to drive further revenue growth [2]. - The digital media and digital experience segments reported revenues of 4.230billionand4.230 billion and 1.414 billion, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 10.8% and 9.7% [3]. - The "One Adobe" strategy aims to break down barriers between departments and products, focusing on overall customer needs, with subscription revenue from business professionals and consumers growing by 15% year-over-year [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY25Q1 revenue was 5.714billion,witha105.714 billion, with a 10% year-over-year increase. The digital media segment contributed 4.230 billion, while the digital experience segment contributed 1.414billion[1][3].ThecompanyexpectsrevenuesforFY25,FY26,andFY27tobe1.414 billion [1][3]. - The company expects revenues for FY25, FY26, and FY27 to be 23.514 billion, 26.073billion,and26.073 billion, and 29.173 billion, respectively [5][20]. AI Product Development - Adobe's AI products, particularly Firefly, have seen significant usage, with over 20 billion operations recorded. The tiered pricing strategy is designed to cater to different user segments [2][3]. Strategic Initiatives - The "One Adobe" strategy is aimed at enhancing customer experience by integrating services across different product lines, leading to a more cohesive offering [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report projects a target price of $506.44 based on a price-to-sales ratio of 9.4x for FY2025, reflecting a strong valuation compared to peers [5][13].