UIH(688271) 华兴证券·2025-03-20 11:11Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 194.39, indicating a potential upside of 54% from the current price of RMB 126.54 [1][2][26] Core Views - The company is positioned to benefit from technological advancements and policy support, leading to significant growth in the medical imaging equipment market. The report anticipates a recovery in the company's performance starting in 2025, with a projected revenue CAGR of 14.2% from 2023 to 2026 [6][9][22] - The company has a comprehensive product line in medical imaging, including CT, MR, XR, MI, and RT, which allows it to compete effectively against established international brands in China [6][40] - The report highlights the company's strong market position, particularly in CT and MR products, with significant revenue contributions expected from these segments in the coming years [6][24][43] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of RMB 11.41 billion in 2023, with projections of RMB 10.26 billion for 2024, RMB 13.80 billion for 2025, and RMB 16.98 billion for 2026. The net profit is expected to decline to RMB 1.26 billion in 2024 before recovering to RMB 2.16 billion in 2025 and RMB 2.88 billion in 2026 [8][22][24] - The estimated EPS for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are RMB 1.52, RMB 2.62, and RMB 3.50 respectively, reflecting a recovery trajectory post-2024 [2][8] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company has established a strong foothold in the domestic market, with a leading market share in CT products and significant positions in MR and MI segments. The report notes that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the trend of domestic substitution in the medical imaging market [6][43][40] - The report emphasizes the company's global expansion strategy, with overseas revenue reaching RMB 9.33 billion in the first half of 2024, marking a 29.9% year-on-year increase, and accounting for 17.5% of total revenue [7][23] Product Line and Innovation - The company offers a wide range of medical imaging products, including advanced CT and MR systems, which are expected to drive future revenue growth. The report highlights the introduction of innovative products such as the uMR Jupiter 5T and uLinac HalosTx, which are set to enhance the company's competitive edge [6][24][25] - The report projects that the company's CT product line will experience a revenue CAGR of -4.6% in 2024, followed by a recovery with 18.2% and 13.6% growth in 2025 and 2026 respectively. The MR product line is expected to grow significantly, with a projected CAGR of 24.4% from 2024 to 2026 [6][24][25]