Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" indicating an expected return of over 10% relative to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [5][14]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 39.241 billion RMB in 2024, a decrease of 2.73% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.450 billion RMB, down 1.63% year-on-year. However, the net profit after deducting non-recurring items increased by 2.47% to 9.988 billion RMB [1]. - The company’s order backlog significantly increased to 49.31 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 47.0%, indicating strong customer demand [9]. - The company is expected to achieve double-digit growth in revenue from its ongoing operations in 2025, driven by a robust pipeline and increasing outsourcing in the pharmaceutical R&D sector [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 11.539 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 6.85%, and a net profit of 2.917 billion RMB, which is a substantial increase of 90.64% year-on-year [1]. - The chemical business generated revenue of 29.05 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 11.2% when excluding specific commercial production projects [2]. Business Segments - The small molecule CRDMO business maintained strong performance, with the small molecule drug discovery segment delivering over 460,000 new compounds, a 10% increase year-on-year [2]. - The TIDES business (oligonucleotides and peptides) experienced rapid growth, achieving revenue of 5.8 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 70.1%, with a backlog growth of 103.9% [2]. Customer Base and Demand - Revenue from the top 20 global pharmaceutical companies reached 16.64 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 24.1% [4]. - The company has approximately 6,000 active clients, with 5,500 in ongoing operations, and added about 1,000 new clients throughout the year [9]. Market Outlook - The global pharmaceutical R&D investment is projected to grow from 260.6 billion USD in 2023 to 359.2 billion USD by 2028, with an annual growth rate of approximately 6.6% [10]. - The outsourcing rate in pharmaceutical R&D is expected to rise from 49.2% in 2023 to 58.2% in 2028, indicating a favorable environment for the company’s services [10].
药明康德:2024年报点评:在手订单大幅增加,2025年持续经营业务收入有望双位数增长-20250320