Beijing Tianma Intelligent (688570) 华鑫证券·2025-03-23 12:30Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [9]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 15.66% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue reaching 1.861 billion yuan and a net profit of 340 million yuan, down 20.01% year-on-year [2][9]. - Despite short-term pressures in the coal industry, long-term resilience is expected due to policy support and increasing demand for intelligent mining solutions [2]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the unmanned intelligent mining control sector, benefiting from the ongoing industry upgrade trend [2][3]. Summary by Sections Industry Outlook - The coal industry is facing short-term challenges due to fluctuations in coal prices, but long-term demand is supported by capacity release and policy backing [2]. - The production of raw coal in China reached 4.76 billion tons in 2024, an increase of 1.3% year-on-year, marking a historical high [2]. Technology and Innovation - The company has established high technical barriers with 17 categories and 63 core technologies, including advancements in unmanned mining processes [3]. - R&D investment for 2024 is projected at 155 million yuan, representing 8.32% of revenue, with a focus on enhancing technological capabilities [7]. International Strategy - The company is expanding its international presence, achieving nearly 30 million yuan in overseas sales in 2024, a record high [8]. - Significant partnerships have been established with international clients, including a notable contract with a major Russian coal producer [8]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.822 billion yuan, 1.997 billion yuan, and 2.118 billion yuan, respectively, with expected EPS of 0.87, 0.98, and 1.08 yuan [9][11]. - The company anticipates a recovery in performance driven by international expansion and domestic policy support [9].