GREE(000651) 招商证券·2025-03-26 06:05Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Gree Electric Appliances [4][8]. Core Viewpoints - The company is undergoing a channel transformation that is reshaping its market position, with government subsidies boosting consumer confidence [2][8]. - Gree's market share in air conditioning has rebounded significantly post-subsidy, with online and offline shares increasing by 5.8 and 5.6 percentage points respectively, reaching 29% and 33% [2]. - The company is expanding its product categories and retail presence, aiming to open 3,000 stores by 2025, ultimately targeting 10,000 stores [2][3]. - Gree is transitioning from a single product manufacturer to a comprehensive solution provider in the HVAC sector, enhancing its competitive edge through AI and innovative product offerings [3]. Financial Data and Valuation - The current stock price is 45.16 CNY, with a total market capitalization of 253 billion CNY [4]. - The projected net profit for 2024 is 30.9 billion CNY, reflecting a 6% growth, with further increases expected in subsequent years [10][17]. - The company has a strong cash flow and high dividend yield, making it an attractive investment opportunity [8][10]. - The estimated PE ratio for 2025 is 7.5, indicating a low valuation compared to historical averages [10][17].