CGN POWER(003816) 银河证券·2025-03-27 08:20Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (003816.SZ) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 86.804 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.814 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 0.8% [3] - The company is expected to benefit from the upcoming commissioning of the Huizhou Unit 1, which is anticipated to support performance in 2025 [3] - The report forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 10.440 billion yuan, 11.126 billion yuan, and 12.259 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18.09x, 16.98x, and 15.41x [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 24.534 billion yuan, up 8.1% year-on-year, but the net profit decreased by 19.0% to 830 million yuan [3] - The average on-grid electricity price for 2024 was 0.416 yuan/kWh, a decrease of 1.57% year-on-year [3] - The company’s operating cash flow for 2024 was 38.016 billion yuan, an increase of 14.78% year-on-year [3] Operational Highlights - The total electricity generation for 2024 was 1,908.07 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 7.08%, primarily due to the commissioning of the Fangchenggang Unit 4 and the resumption of operations at Taishan Unit 1 [3] - The company plans to conduct 19 refueling overhauls in 2025, including two ten-year overhauls and one first-time overhaul [3] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to slightly decline to 86.782 billion yuan in 2025, followed by growth to 92.257 billion yuan in 2026 and 99.473 billion yuan in 2027 [4][6] - The gross margin is expected to decrease to 31.45% in 2025, with a gradual recovery to 31.80% by 2027 [6]