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1月物价数据解读:上调2026年PPI、CPI预测
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-02-11 11:35
宏观动态报告 上调 2026 年 PPI、CPI 预测 —— 1 月物价数据解读 2026 证 2 证 11 证 PPI 的再通胀线索在于 ,证证 证证证证证证证证证证证证证 证证证证证证证 证证证证证证证证证证证证证 证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证 证证证证 证证证证证证证证证证证证证 证证证证证证 证证证证证证证证证证 证证证证证证证证证 PPI 证证证证证证证证证 证预计 4 月 PPI 同比有望转正。 CPI 的再通胀线索在于, 证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证 证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证 证证证证证证证证证证证 PPI 证证证 CPI 证证证证证证证 证证 证证 CPI 证证 证证证证证证 CPI:温和回升,预计全年增速 0.6% 。证证证证证证证 CPI 证证证证证证证 证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证 证证证证证证证 CPI 证证证证证证证证证证证证证证 2 证证证证证证证证证证 证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证 1.0% 证证证证 CPI 证证证证证证证证 证证证证证证证证证证证证证证证 预 ...
银河证券北交所日报-20260211
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-02-11 10:12
北交所日报 北交所日报(2026.02.11) 2026 年 02 月 11 日 核心观点 分析师 范想想 :010-8092-7663 :fanxiangxiang_yj @chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130518090002 张智浩 :zhangzhihao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130524100001 相对沪深 300 表现图 2026-02-11 资料来源:iFinD,中国银河证券研究院 相关研究 1. 【银河北交所】2026 年度策略_ 小而美"到"小 美久到,推动北证高质量发展 2. 【银河北交所】小十五五到:北交所引领中而企业 再进阶 3. 【银河北交所】2025 年度中期策略_并购协同促 新格局,提质扩容迎新供给 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 1 资料来源:中国银河证券研究院 ⚫ 2 月 11 日,北证 50 涨跌幅为-0.44%,收于 1,525.49 点。同日,北证 专精特新指数收于 2,552.04 点,涨跌幅为 0.08%;上证指数收于 ...
行业跟踪点评:大厂抢占流量入口,C端路径验证开启
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-02-11 08:42
行业点评报告 · 传媒行业 大厂抢占流量入口,C 端路径验证开启 —— 行业跟踪点评 2026 年 02 月 11 日 核心观点 此外,用户习惯的培育亦有利于 AI 垂类应用的发展,建议关注 AI 赋能不断 深化的 AI 应用及产业 链相关 相关子板块:1)国内 AI 视频工具产品力领先 的快手-W;2)AI 应用及产业链相关:值得 买(AI+电商)、蓝色光标(AI+ 营销)、昆仑万维(AI 应用)、恺英网络(AI+游戏)等。 ⚫ 风险提示:AI 技术发展进度不及预期风险、内容监管的风险、行业竞争的风 险、新用户留存率低于预期的风险。 传媒行业 推荐 维持评级 分析师 岳铮 :010-8092-7630 :yuezheng_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130522030006 祁天睿 :010-8092-7603 :qitianrui_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130525080003 相对沪深 300 表现图 2026 年 02 月 10 日 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 2025/2/11 2025/3/11 202 ...
电力设备行业:AIDC系列点评:海内外景气上行,看好AIDC全产业链放量
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-02-11 07:33
1 分析师承诺及简介 本人承诺以勤勉的执业态度,独立、客观地出具本报告,本报告清晰准确地反映本人的研究观点。本人薪酬的任何部分过去不 曾与、现在不与、未来也将不会与本报告的具体推荐或观点直接或间接相关。 曾韬,2025年3月加入银河证券,曾任职于中金公司。《亚洲货币》新能源行业 2018-2023 年连续第一名,《机构投资者》 2020 年全球最受欢迎十位分析师,锂电池 2020 年第一名,新能源 2018 年第一名,2019-2020 年第二名,2021-2024 年第一名。 2017年新财富分析师第二名、水晶球第二名,金牛奖第一名,IAMAC保险最受欢迎分析师第一名。2016年新财富分析师第三名。 黄林,北京大学本硕,2022年7月加入银河证券。曾任职于中国联通,从事 5G 行业营销。 TrendForce AI 2024 14% 2026 40% 2026 150 1050 26-28 CAGR 30% 3 CDU UQD Manifold NV/Google AI 1 AI HVDC SST 2 ; 3 4 AIDC 5 BBU/ / 河证券|CGS 行业点评报告 ·电力设备行业 免责声明 本报告由中 ...
维信诺(002387):OLED领军厂商将进入国资时代
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-02-11 06:05
公司深度报告 · 电子行业 OLED 领军厂商将进入国资时代 2026 年 02 月 11 日 核心观点 主要财务指标预测 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 7,929 | 8,153 | 8,072 | 8,683 | | 收入增长率% | 33.80 | 2.84 | -1.00 | 7.57 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | -2,505 | -2,115 | -2,125 | -1,806 | | 利润增长率% | 32.76 | 15.60 | -0.49 | 15.03 | | 分红率% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 毛利率% | -7.88 | -0.08 | -2.81 | -0.24 | | 摊薄 EPS(元) | -1.79 | -1.51 | -1.52 | -1.29 | | PE | -5.01 | -5.93 | -5.90 | -6.95 | | PB | 2.26 | 2.83 | 3.47 | 5.01 | | P ...
银河证券北交所日报-20260210
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-02-10 11:36
北交所日报 北交所日报(2026.02.10) 2026 年 02 月 10 日 核心观点 分析师 范想想 :010-8092-7663 :fanxiangxiang_yj @chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130518090002 张智浩 :zhangzhihao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130524100001 相对沪深 300 表现图 2026-02-10 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 1 资料来源:中国银河证券研究院 ⚫ 2 月 10 日,北证 50 涨跌幅为-0.61%,收于 1,532.17 点。同日,北证 专精特新指数收于 2,549.98 点,涨跌幅为-1.26%;上证指数收于 4,128.37 点,涨跌幅为 0.13%;沪深 300 收 4,724.30 点,涨跌幅为 0.11%;科创 50 收 1,471.50 点,涨跌幅为 0.91%;创业板指收于 3,320.54 点,涨跌幅为 -0.37%。 ⚫ 北交所整体成交额 193.32 亿元,成交量为 ...
2026春节档前瞻:春节档预售开启,《飞驰3》暂时领跑
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-02-10 10:13
行业点评报告 · 传媒行业 春节档预售开启,《飞驰 3》暂时领跑 —— 2026 春节档前瞻 2026 年 02 月 10 日 核心观点 传媒行业 :yuezheng_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130522030006 祁天睿 :010-8092-7603 :qitianrui_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130525080003 相对沪深 300 表现图 2026 年 02 月 09 日 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 2025/2/10 2025/3/10 2025/4/10 2025/5/10 2025/6/10 2025/7/10 2025/8/10 2025/9/10 2025/10/10 2025/11/10 2025/12/10 2026/1/10 SW传媒Ⅰ 沪深300 资料来源:中国银河证券研究院 推荐 维持评级 分析师 岳铮 :010-80927630 相关研究 1.【银河传媒互联网】1 月行业月报_AI 应用催化密 集,同时关注春节档表现 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文 ...
数字经济双周报(2026年第3期):智能体开启AI从工具到伙伴新时代-20260210
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-02-10 06:52
Core Insights - The report highlights the transition of AI Agents from tools to partners, marking a new era in digital economy [2][4] - The AI Agent market is projected to grow significantly, with an expected increase from $8.2 billion in 2023 to $14.1 billion by 2033, representing a growth rate of 68.18% [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of regional collaboration and ecosystem construction in accelerating AI industry transformation in China [11][12] Section Summaries 1. Focus of the Report: AI Agents Transitioning to Partners - The evolution of AI technology can be categorized into three stages, with AI Agents now entering a phase of explosive growth [4] - The AI Agent market is expected to grow from $12 billion in 2023 to $20.55 billion by 2033, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.5% [4] 2. China Dynamics: Accelerating AI Industry Transformation - Central government policies are increasingly focused on integrating AI into various sectors to promote high-quality development [11][12] - Local governments are implementing tailored policies to foster AI integration, leveraging regional strengths [12] - Significant capital inflows into leading AI companies reflect market confidence in technological advancements [12] 3. U.S. Dynamics: Intensifying Capital and Commercialization - Major AI companies are attracting substantial investments, with valuations and funding targets on the rise [13][14] - Strategic investments by tech giants are enhancing their integration with key AI firms, reinforcing their positions in the industry [13] - The competition in AI commercialization is heating up, with diverse revenue models being explored [14] 4. European Dynamics: Balancing Regulation and Industry Competitiveness - The UK is collaborating with tech giants to develop frameworks addressing new digital threats like deepfakes [16] - Regulatory bodies are investigating the misuse risks of generative AI applications, focusing on data protection and online safety [17] - The EU is initiating investigations to ensure fair competition in the AI sector, emphasizing interoperability and data access [17] 5. Other Countries: Strengthening AI Infrastructure - AI demand is driving a supercycle in the storage industry, with South Korean firms enhancing their market positions [18] - Storage chip prices are rising due to AI needs, leading to record performances for major manufacturers [18] - The global semiconductor landscape is shifting, with a focus on diversifying supply chains to meet AI demands [19]
ESG策略周度报告:本周ESG舆情整合策略超额收益2%-20260210
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-02-10 06:31
ESG 策略周度报告 本周 ESG 舆情整合策略超额收益 2% ——ESG 策略周度报告(20260206) 2026 年 2 月 10 日 核心观点 分析师 马宗明 :18600816533 :mazongming_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130524070001 研究助理 方嘉成 相关研究 1.【银河 ESG】厚积薄发,志存高远——ESG 投资策 略解析与优化构建 2.【银河 ESG】穿越市场周期变幻:ESG 舆情整合策 略新径 3.【银河 ESG】本周 ESG 舆情整合策略超额收益为 5.94%——ESG 策略周度报告(20250419) 4.【银河 ESG】本周 ESG 舆情整合策略超额收益为 0.79%——ESG 策略周度报告(20250425) 5.【银河 ESG】本周 ESG 评级下调数居多,策略有 所回撤——ESG 策略周度报告(20250430) 6. 【银河 ESG】本周 ESG 舆情整合策略绝对收益为 2.16%——ESG 策略周度报告(20250510) www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份 ...
食品饮料行业点评报告:供需关系有望改善,看好价格修复相关机会
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-02-10 03:19
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the food and beverage industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The supply-demand relationship is expected to improve, with a focus on investment opportunities related to CPI recovery [5] - CPI has shown a positive growth trend since October 2025, with food CPI also reflecting improvements [5] - The report highlights specific sectors such as liquor, dairy, and consumer goods that are poised for recovery [12][14][15] Summary by Sections Supply-Demand Relationship and CPI Recovery - PPI transmission combined with consumer recovery is likely to sustain the CPI improvement trend, with CPI growth recorded at +0.7% in November and +0.8% in December 2025 [5] - Food CPI showed a year-on-year increase of +0.2% in November and +1.1% in December, with fresh vegetable prices rising significantly [5][11] - The report anticipates that the CPI recovery will continue into 2026, driven by PPI improvements and supportive domestic demand policies [5] Sector-Specific Insights - **Liquor**: The price of Feitian Moutai has rebounded, with prices reaching 1710 RMB for whole boxes and 1660 RMB for individual bottles as of February 8, 2026, indicating strong demand during the Spring Festival [12][14] - **Dairy**: The average price of fresh milk has stabilized around 3.04 RMB per kilogram, with expectations for upward movement in 2026 due to supply adjustments and improved demand from demographic policies [14] - **Consumer Goods**: Prices for certain products, such as frozen foods and snacks, are beginning to recover, with companies like Anjijia adjusting promotional strategies to enhance profitability [15] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies within the consumer goods sector, including Dongpeng Beverage, Nongfu Spring, and others, as well as key players in the liquor sector like Guizhou Moutai and Shanxi Fenjiu [21]