Inflation Trends - The CPI year-on-year decreased to 3.0%, while the core CPI fell to 6.1%, indicating a slowdown in inflation driven by lagging factors[3] - The nominal CPI was slightly below expectations due to a significant drop in energy prices and a continued slowdown in used car prices[3] - Core services saw a slight acceleration, primarily due to increases in non-residential costs, but housing costs continued to ease, supporting the core inflation target of around 2%[3] Food and Energy Prices - Food prices adjusted seasonally decreased from 3.6% in the previous month to 3.1%, with year-on-year growth remaining at 3.0%[3] - The energy index adjusted seasonally fell by 4.5%, with a year-on-year decline of 3.1%, significantly impacting nominal inflation[3] - Energy commodities saw a month-on-month decrease of 6.6%, with gasoline prices dropping by 6.1%[3] Core Goods and Services - Core goods, excluding food and energy, showed a month-on-month increase of 0.3% and a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, indicating limited pass-through of tariff-related price increases[3] - Core services, excluding energy services, increased slightly to 3.5% month-on-month, reflecting marginal acceleration in service prices[3] Housing Costs - Housing costs decreased month-on-month by 0.3% and year-on-year by 4.3%, continuing a slow downward trend that limits service inflation[4] - The moderate increase in rent and owner-equivalent rent was consistent with leading rental indicators, supporting the easing of core inflation towards the 2% target[4] Market Expectations - The market's expectations for interest rate cuts remain stable, with CME data indicating a baseline pricing for three rate cuts throughout the year[4] - U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year yield decreasing to 3.67% and the 2-year yield down to 4.67%[4]

Group 1: Monetary Supply and Growth Rates - M1 growth rate increased to 4.9% in January 2026, up from 3.8% in December 2025[1] - M2 growth rate rose to 9.0% in January 2026, compared to 8.5% in December 2025[1] - New social financing (社融) reached 7.2 trillion yuan in January 2026, an increase of 165.4 billion yuan year-on-year, with a growth rate of 8.2%[1] Group 2: Household Deposits and Trends - Household deposit growth rate estimated at 7.18% in January 2026, down from 9.68% in December 2025[1] - The difference between household deposit growth and M2 growth turned negative for the first time in 7.5 years, at -1.82 percentage points[1] - Non-bank deposits showed a rapid increase in the rolling 12-month sum[1] Group 3: Loan and Credit Dynamics - New RMB loans totaled 4.71 trillion yuan in January 2026, a decrease of 420 billion yuan year-on-year, with a growth rate of 6.1%[1] - The decline in loans was primarily driven by a decrease in corporate loans, particularly in medium to long-term loans, which fell by 280 billion yuan[19] - Residential credit showed a slight increase of 128 billion yuan, with short-term loans up by 159.4 billion yuan, while medium to long-term loans decreased by 146.6 billion yuan[19] Group 4: Financing Sources and Trends - Government bond financing increased by 2.83 trillion yuan year-on-year, with a net financing of 9.76 trillion yuan in January 2026[26] - Corporate bond financing rose by 579 billion yuan, driven by technology innovation bonds, which net financed approximately 2.52 trillion yuan[25] - The effective social financing growth rate, excluding government financing, was 5.31%, down from 5.62%[5]

Group 1: Commodity Price Trends - Since August 2023, precious metals and industrial metals have shown significant price increases, with gold rising by 45.6% and silver by 103% since August 2025, while COMEX copper has increased by 15% since September 2023, raising expectations for oil price increases[2] - Historical analysis of commodity cycles from 1992-2021 indicates a valid transmission logic from precious metals to industrial metals and then to oil, driven by monetary easing and economic recovery[2] - The current commodity cycle differs from previous ones, with precious metal price increases occurring ahead of monetary easing, driven by de-dollarization expectations and geopolitical risks[2] Group 2: Key Support Factors for Oil Prices - Two main support factors for oil prices are identified: the desire of oil-producing countries to raise prices and geopolitical premiums due to global political and economic challenges[2] - The U.S. is seen as a key player in oil price dynamics, with potential motivations to raise prices post-midterm elections, as inflation concerns may ease[2] - OPEC countries, particularly Saudi Arabia, are also inclined to raise oil prices to ensure fiscal stability, especially under increasing financial pressures[2] Group 3: Investment Insights - Brent crude oil prices are projected to rise to the range of $75-80 per barrel within the year, driven by the dual logic of rising expectations and geopolitical premiums[3] - Upstream resource sectors are expected to directly benefit from rising oil prices, enhancing profitability and dividend stability, making high-dividend stocks more attractive in a declining interest rate environment[3] - Oil price increases are likely to boost capital expenditures in oil companies, creating lagging benefits for oil service and high-end equipment sectors[3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the telecommunications industry [1] Core Insights - The integration of mobile networks and satellite communications is enhancing coverage strength, while infrastructure development in the low-altitude economy continues to increase [3] - There is a clear demand for low-altitude communication, with an anticipated rise in the demand for 5G-A integrated sensing base stations [3] - The combination of 5G-A and satellite communication solutions is expected to improve navigation and positioning accuracy in low-altitude airspace [3] - Investment recommendations are provided, emphasizing the potential growth in the sector [3]

Core Insights - The report highlights the performance of the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) on February 12, 2026, with the BSE 50 index closing at 1,533.17 points, reflecting a change of 0.50% [3] - The overall trading volume on the BSE was 19.263 billion yuan, with a total of 721 million shares traded, indicating a decrease compared to the previous week's average daily trading volume of 20.484 billion yuan [3] - The report notes that the BSE's overall valuation stands at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 47.22 times, which is higher than the P/E ratios of the ChiNext and STAR Market, at 46.32 times and 78.83 times respectively [3][10] Market Performance - On February 12, 2026, the BSE saw mixed performance across various sectors, with the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector leading with a gain of 6.2%, while the oil and petrochemical sector experienced a decline of 6.8% [3] - Among the 294 listed companies on the BSE, 113 companies saw their stock prices rise, while 171 companies experienced declines, with Haisheng Medical leading the gains at 172.86% [3][7] Valuation Analysis - The average P/E ratio for the BSE-listed companies is reported at 47.22 times, with the highest sector valuation in non-ferrous metals at 123.5 times, followed by telecommunications at 93.5 times [3][10] - The report indicates a continuous trend of higher valuations for BSE companies compared to those listed on the ChiNext [10] Trading Activity - The trading activity on the BSE was characterized by a turnover rate of 2.80%, with notable trading volumes in companies such as Binhang Technology, which had a transaction volume of 1.549 billion yuan [3][6] - The report provides detailed data on the top gainers and losers, with Haisheng Medical and ST Yunchuang being highlighted for their significant price movements [7][8]

Inflation Forecasts - The CPI is expected to have a mild recovery, with an annual growth rate of 0.6% for 2026, with quarterly estimates of 0.7%, 0.4%, 0.6%, and 0.8% respectively[1] - The PPI is projected to turn positive after April, with an annual growth rate of approximately 0.5%, with quarterly estimates of -0.9%, 0.5%, 1.1%, and 1.2%[3] Price Movements - In January, the CPI increased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.2% year-on-year, down from 0.8% in the previous year[4] - The PPI rose by 0.4% month-on-month in January, marking the fourth consecutive month of increase, while the year-on-year decline narrowed to -1.4% from -1.9%[6] Food Prices - The impact of the Spring Festival timing on food prices was significant, with vegetable prices decreasing by 4.8% month-on-month, while pork and egg prices rebounded by 1.2% and 2.7% respectively[4] - The overall food price index reflects a mixed trend, with some items experiencing price increases while others decline[11] Sector Analysis - Non-food items showed a slight increase of 0.2% month-on-month, driven by seasonal demand, while energy prices continued to be a drag on overall inflation[6] - The adjustment in the weight of food items in the CPI indicates a stronger influence of pork prices on the overall index due to the new base year[7] Future Outlook - The report suggests that global supply constraints and geopolitical uncertainties will continue to support resource prices, impacting both CPI and PPI in 2026[29]

Core Insights - The overall performance of the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) on February 11, 2026, showed a decline of 0.44% for the BSE 50 index, closing at 1,525.49 points, while the specialized and innovative index increased by 0.08% to 2,552.04 points [3][4] - The total market capitalization of the BSE reached 9,295.01 billion, with a circulating market value of 5,724.27 billion, indicating a decrease in trading activity compared to the previous week [3][4] - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for BSE-listed companies was reported at 47.24 times, which is higher than the P/E ratios of the STAR Market (77.90 times) and the ChiNext (45.77 times) [3][11] Market Performance - On February 11, 2026, the BSE recorded a total trading volume of 169.50 billion with 6.51 million shares traded, reflecting a decrease from the previous week's average daily trading volume of 204.84 billion [3][4] - The industry performance was mixed, with the top gainers being non-ferrous metals (1.2%), social services (1.0%), and textiles and apparel (0.5%), while the largest declines were seen in media (-5.7%), telecommunications (-2.0%), and food and beverage (-1.3%) [3][4] Stock Performance - Among the 293 listed companies on the BSE, 73 experienced an increase in stock price, 9 remained flat, and 211 saw a decline. The top gainers included Minshida (+8.44%), Gebijia (+8.05%), and Lingge Technology (+7.58%) [3][8] - Conversely, the largest declines were noted in Kaide Quartz (-7.40%), Optech (-6.05%), and Aide Technology (-5.75%) [3][9] Valuation Insights - The average P/E ratio for the non-ferrous metals sector was the highest at 124.4 times, followed by telecommunications at 91.9 times and food and beverage at 82.7 times [3][11] - The valuation of BSE-listed companies has shown a slight decrease compared to the previous trading day, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [3][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the media industry [3] Core Insights - The current AI industry is catalyzing significant developments, with the recent "AI Red Packet War" marking a milestone in the commercialization of AI applications, particularly in C-end user engagement [5] - Major companies are competing for C-end traffic entry points, utilizing cash red packets to cultivate user habits and drive user acquisition for their AI assistant applications [5] - The integration of AI assistants with existing platforms is creating a new ecosystem, enhancing user experience and potentially validating commercial pathways for AI applications in various sectors [5] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report highlights the ongoing competition among major firms to capture C-end user traffic, emphasizing the importance of user habit cultivation through promotional activities [5] AI Application Development - The report suggests focusing on AI-enabled applications and related sectors, recommending companies such as Kuaishou-W, Worth Buying (AI + E-commerce), BlueFocus (AI + Marketing), Kunlun Wanwei (AI Applications), and Kaiying Network (AI + Gaming) [2] Market Performance - The report includes a performance comparison of the media sector against the CSI 300 index, indicating fluctuations in relative performance over time [4]

Investment Rating - The report provides an investment rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook with a recommendation for investment based on projected growth rates and market performance [9]. Core Insights - The industry is expected to experience significant growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30% from 2026 to 2028 [5]. - Key players in the industry include major companies such as NV and Google, which are heavily investing in AI technologies [5]. - The report highlights the increasing demand for AI-related products and services, particularly in sectors like high-voltage direct current (HVDC) systems and advanced integrated circuits (AIDC) [5]. Summary by Sections - **Market Trends**: The report notes a 14% growth in AI investments in 2024, with expectations of reaching 40% by 2026, indicating a robust market expansion [5]. - **Technological Advancements**: Innovations in AI technologies, such as AI HVDC systems and UQD manifolds, are driving the industry's growth and attracting significant investments [5]. - **Competitive Landscape**: The report identifies key competitors and their strategies, emphasizing the importance of technological leadership and market positioning in capturing growth opportunities [5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for the company, Visionox [3][56]. Core Insights - Visionox is a leading global supplier of OLED products, focusing on small and medium-sized displays, as well as Micro-LED screens, with applications in smartphones, wearables, tablets, laptops, and automotive displays [6][8]. - The company is expected to benefit from entering a state-owned enterprise era, which will enhance operational stability and reduce financial risks [6][54]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 81.5 billion, 80.7 billion, and 86.8 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of +2.8%, -1%, and +7.6% respectively [6][56]. Company Overview - Visionox was established in 2001, evolving from a Tsinghua University OLED project group founded in 1996, and has focused on OLED industrialization for nearly 30 years [6][8]. - The company has a significant market share, ranking third in the global smartphone AMOLED panel market and first in the wearable AMOLED panel market as of 2024 [6][8]. Industry Trends - The penetration rate of AMOLED in smartphones and wearables has exceeded 60%, while the medium-sized display market remains under 20%, indicating substantial growth potential [18][19]. - The introduction of foldable screens is expected to drive further penetration of AMOLED technology in the smartphone market, with a projected increase in shipments [27][22]. - The medium-sized display market is anticipated to expand significantly, particularly in high-end IT and automotive applications, as OLED technology offers superior quality and efficiency compared to traditional LCDs [28][29]. Investment Highlights - Visionox is expected to steadily increase its market share in the small-sized display market, with a projected growth in AMOLED smartphone panel shipments by 16.7% year-on-year [48]. - The company is innovating in the medium-sized display market with proprietary technologies, such as the ViP technology, which enhances production efficiency and reduces costs [48][51]. - The financial quality of the company's reports is expected to improve as the depreciation of fixed assets stabilizes and market conditions become more favorable [52]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to incur net losses of 21.2 billion, 21.3 billion, and 18.1 billion yuan for the years 2025-2027, reflecting ongoing challenges in profitability [6][56]. - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in the company's financial ratios, including a decrease in research and financial expense ratios over the forecast period [56].