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沛嘉医疗-B:公司价值仍被市场低估,瓣膜行业增速放缓下集采或非坏事-20250328
09996PEIJIA(09996) 浦银国际·2025-03-28 06:25

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 7.5 HKD, indicating that the current market price does not reflect the company's true value [1][4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to steadily reduce losses in 2024, with the neurointervention segment achieving its first annual profit. Revenue for 2024 is projected at 615 million RMB, a 40% year-over-year increase, with a gross margin of 70.5% [2][4]. - The cardiac valve segment is anticipated to generate 260 million RMB in revenue for 2024, also reflecting a 40% year-over-year growth, while the neurointervention segment is expected to reach 356 million RMB, marking a 39% increase [2][3]. - The report highlights that the market is closely monitoring the impact of centralized procurement, particularly in the neurointervention field, where risks are nearing resolution. In the cardiac valve sector, the slowdown in implant volume growth may not necessarily be negative due to potential price adjustments post-procurement [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 441 million RMB in 2023, 615 million RMB in 2024, 821 million RMB in 2025, 781 million RMB in 2026, and 1,024 million RMB in 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 75.9%, 39.5%, 33.4%, -4.9%, and 31.2% respectively [5][12]. - The company is expected to narrow its net loss from 393 million RMB in 2023 to 228 million RMB in 2024, with further reductions anticipated in subsequent years [5][12]. - The report provides a detailed breakdown of revenue by segment, with cardiac valves and neurointervention contributing significantly to the overall growth [2][12]. Product Pipeline and Market Strategy - The company has separated three advanced products from its transcatheter valve business to prepare for independent financing and international expansion. These products are aimed at the European and American markets [4][14]. - The DCWire microguidewire is currently undergoing FDA registration and is expected to be the company's first original product to enter the international market [4][14]. - The report outlines the expected approval timelines for various products, including the TaurusNXT and TaurusTrio, which are anticipated to receive approval between late 2025 and mid-2026 [4][14].