NJTC(601975) 国联民生证券·2025-03-28 13:55Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7][11][13] Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure on performance due to fluctuations in freight rates, but its flexible operations are expected to stabilize performance [5][11] - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 6.475 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.921 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.4% [5][11] - The company is a leader in the refined oil transportation market in the Far East, with a strong ability to withstand risks and navigate through cycles [5][11][13] Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 1.467 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.3%, and a net profit of 265 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.0% [5][11] - The refined oil transportation business generated revenue of 3.751 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 32.8%, down 2.88 percentage points year-on-year [11][12] - The crude oil transportation business maintained stable revenue of 1.866 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 37.7% [11][12] Future Outlook - The company expects operating revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 6.520 billion yuan, 7.006 billion yuan, and 7.536 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.7%, 7.5%, and 7.6% [13][14] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1.630 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 15.1%, followed by increases in subsequent years [13][14] - The company is anticipated to maintain a strong position in the market due to its flexible fleet operations [5][11][13]