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柳工:国企改革提升效率,净利率提升空间大-20250331
000528LIUGONG(000528) 国盛证券·2025-03-31 01:00

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [5] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in revenue and profit, with a 9.24% increase in revenue to 30.063 billion yuan and a 52.92% increase in net profit to 1.327 billion yuan in 2024. The company is expected to continue this growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 2.123 billion yuan, 2.812 billion yuan, and 3.733 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9][10] - The company is well-positioned in the engineering machinery industry, with strong market shares in loader and excavator segments, and is experiencing rapid growth in emerging markets and new product lines such as electric loaders and mining machinery [2][3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 22.5%, up 1.68 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 4.61%, up 1.19 percentage points year-on-year. However, in Q4 2024, the gross margin decreased to 19.38% and the net margin to 0.4% [1] - The company’s revenue for 2024 was 30.063 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9.2%, and the net profit was 1.327 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 52.9% [10] Market Position - The company maintains the largest market share in the domestic loader market and has seen rapid growth in sales of autonomous and smart loader products. The global sales of electric loaders increased by 194%, maintaining a leading market position [2] - The excavator business outperformed the industry growth rate by 27 percentage points, with overall profitability improving and a 48% increase in profits [2] Emerging Business Segments - The company’s new business segments, including mining machinery, aerial work platforms, and agricultural machinery, are rapidly developing, with mining machinery sales increasing by over 60% year-on-year [3] - The agricultural machinery segment has made significant advancements, including the successful launch of a 200-horsepower power-shift tractor, marking a breakthrough in technology [3] Global Expansion - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with overseas sales growth outpacing the industry by 22 percentage points and overseas revenue increasing by 20.05% year-on-year [4] - The electric product line has become a new growth driver, with revenue from electric products increasing by over 380% [4]