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信达生物:Entering sustainable profitability with a global innovation engine-20250331

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Innovent Biologics, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [16]. Core Insights - Innovent Biologics is entering a phase of sustainable profitability, having achieved a full-year non-IFRS net profit of RMB332 million in FY24, driven by strong product revenue growth and one-off license fee income [8]. - The target price has been revised upwards from HK57.67toHK57.67 to HK61.71, reflecting a 33.6% upside potential from the current price of HK46.20[3][8].Thecompanyisadvancingitsnextgenerationimmunooncology(IO)therapiesandantibodydrugconjugates(ADCs),withsignificantclinicalprogramsunderway[8].FinancialSummaryRevenueisprojectedtogrowfromRMB6,206millioninFY23toRMB11,356millioninFY25,representingayearonyeargrowthof51.846.20 [3][8]. - The company is advancing its next-generation immuno-oncology (IO) therapies and antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), with significant clinical programs underway [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB6,206 million in FY23 to RMB11,356 million in FY25, representing a year-on-year growth of 51.8% [2][13]. - Net profit is expected to turn positive in FY25, reaching RMB445.7 million, with EPS projected at RMB0.27 [2][11]. - R&D expenses are forecasted to remain stable, while gross profit margin is expected to expand to 84.9% in FY24 from 82.8% in FY23 [2][8]. Share Performance - The market capitalization of Innovent Biologics is approximately HK75.68 billion, with a 52-week high of HK51.15andalowofHK51.15 and a low of HK30.00 [3][4]. - The stock has shown strong performance, with a 1-month absolute return of 14.2% and a 3-month return of 29.8% [5]. Pipeline and Growth Potential - Innovent has a robust pipeline with over 10 ADC clinical programs and is focusing on combination trials with its next-generation IO therapy, IBI363 [8]. - The company aims to initiate multiple Phase 3 trials by 2030, targeting global markets with its innovative therapies [8].