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华润万象生活:FY24 earnings dragged by VAS, shopping malls biz kept shining-20250331

Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for CR MixC Lifestyle with a target price of HK45.3,reflectinga2945.3, reflecting a 29% upside from the current price of HK35.10 [3][8]. Core Insights - CR MixC's FY24 revenue increased by 15% YoY to RMB 17 billion, slightly missing guidance by 3%, primarily due to a decline in value-added services (VAS) [8]. - Net profit rose 24% YoY to RMB 3.6 billion, exceeding guidance by 4%, driven by strong performance in shopping mall operations and effective cost control [8][9]. - The company aims for double-digit net profit growth in FY25, with an estimated 21%+ core net profit growth required to meet the 14th Five-Year Plan targets [8][10]. Financial Performance - FY24 revenue: RMB 17,043 million, with a YoY growth of 15.4% [2]. - FY24 net profit: RMB 3,629 million, with a YoY growth of 23.9% [2]. - The gross profit margin improved to 32.9% in FY24, up from 31.8% in FY23 [9][14]. - The company declared a 100% dividend payout based on core net profit, increasing the basic payout ratio to 60% from 55% in FY23 [8][10]. Revenue Breakdown - Shopping mall revenue surged by 30% YoY, contributing significantly to overall revenue growth [8]. - Urban space revenue increased by 36% YoY, supported by a 20% rise in managed gross floor area (GFA) and improved collection rates [8][9]. - Non-owner VAS revenue declined by 12% YoY, while owner VAS saw a 6% increase [8]. Future Projections - FY25E revenue is projected to reach RMB 19,821 million, reflecting a 16.3% YoY growth [2]. - FY25E net profit is estimated at RMB 4,321 million, indicating a 19.1% YoY growth [2]. - The company expects to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with a focus on expanding its shopping mall operations and enhancing third-party services [8][10].