LIUGONG(000528) 国海证券·2025-03-31 12:02Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][8] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 30.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.33 billion yuan, up 52.9% year-on-year [2] - The gross margin improved to 22.5%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin rose to 4.6%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company is focusing on strategic emerging business sectors to cultivate new growth drivers for high-quality development [4] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The company's stock outperformed the CSI 300 index with a 12-month performance of 47.4% compared to the index's 10.4% [1] - The current stock price is 12.05 yuan, with a 52-week price range of 8.35 to 13.71 yuan [1] Business Segments - The earthmoving segment saw revenue of 17.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, accounting for 59.7% of total revenue [4] - The company achieved a 15% year-on-year increase in global revenue from earthmoving products, with nearly 60% of revenue coming from overseas [4] - The sales of key products, including loaders and excavators, remained robust, contributing nearly 7 billion yuan in revenue [4] Overseas Market Expansion - The company's overseas revenue reached 13.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.1%, with overseas revenue accounting for 45.8% of total revenue [4] - The overseas gross margin was 28.6%, which is 11.2 percentage points higher than domestic margins [4] - The company has nearly 400 dealers and over 1,300 outlets, achieving a channel coverage rate of nearly 70% [4] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 35.38 billion yuan, 42.08 billion yuan, and 48.68 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.1 billion yuan, 2.63 billion yuan, and 3.27 billion yuan [6][7] - The company is expected to maintain a strong return on equity (ROE) of 11% in 2025, increasing to 15% by 2027 [8]