Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Recommended" [1] Core Views - The company is expected to improve sales while actively optimizing its land reserve structure. Despite a decline in net profit, revenue is projected to grow, indicating a focus on operational efficiency and market positioning [4][7]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 86.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.04 billion yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 67.3% [4]. - The gross profit margin decreased by 4.8 percentage points to 10.5% in 2024, impacting overall profitability [7]. Sales and Market Strategy - The company aims for a sales target of 120.5 billion yuan in 2025, representing a growth of 5.2%. The contract sales for the first two months of 2025 reached 12.83 billion yuan, up 23.8% year-on-year [7]. - The company has a marketable inventory valued at approximately 235.4 billion yuan, with a focus on first-tier and key second-tier cities for land acquisitions [7]. Financial Health - The company completed equity investments of 29.46 billion yuan in 2024, with 82.7% of the new land reserves located in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou [7]. - The company maintains a healthy financial status, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 74.6% and an average borrowing cost of 3.49% [1][7]. Future Projections - Revenue is expected to continue growing, with projections of 94.2 billion yuan in 2025 and 102.2 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 8% [6][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 is adjusted to 0.27 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.0 times [7][10].
越秀地产:销售有望改善,积极优化土储结构-20250401