中国国贸：业绩稳中有升，重视股东回报-20250401

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][13]. Core Insights - For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3.912 billion RMB, a slight decrease of 1.05% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.262 billion RMB, reflecting a modest increase of 0.25% [2][10]. - The company experienced a slight decline in rental income, with total rental revenue at 2.88 billion RMB, down 1.14% year-on-year. However, cost control measures led to an improvement in profit margins, with gross margin increasing by 0.13 percentage points to 58.14% and net margin rising by 0.43 percentage points to 32.30% [3][4]. - The average occupancy rates for different property types showed mixed results, with office occupancy at 93.1%, shopping mall occupancy at 96.5%, and apartment occupancy at 88.9%. Rental prices for offices and shopping malls increased year-on-year, while apartment rents remained stable [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 39.12 billion RMB in 2024, with a year-on-year decline of 1.05%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.62 billion RMB, showing a slight increase of 0.25% [2][10]. - The average rental income across different segments was reported as follows: office rental income at 1.48 billion RMB (down 3.3%), shopping mall income at 1.22 billion RMB (up 1.0%), and apartment income at 190 million RMB (up 2.2%) [3]. Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin improved to 58.14%, and the net margin increased to 32.30%, attributed to cost-saving measures in depreciation, employee costs, and maintenance [3][4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 11.00 RMB per 10 shares, totaling 1.108 billion RMB, with a payout ratio of 88% and a dividend yield of 4.78% based on the closing price as of March 31, 2024 [4]. Future Projections - The profit forecast for the company has been slightly adjusted, with expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 projected at 1.28 billion RMB, 1.30 billion RMB, and 1.31 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 1.4%, 1.3%, and 1.0% [5].