国能日新（301162）：核心业务韧性护航，AI赋能拓版图

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 66.37 [4][8]. Core Insights - The company's core business demonstrates resilience, supported by AI capabilities and favorable policies, which are expected to drive growth [4][10]. - Revenue for 2024 is projected to reach RMB 550 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.5%, with net profit attributable to shareholders expected to be RMB 94 million, a growth of 11.09% [9][10]. - The introduction of the "Kuangming" AI model is anticipated to enhance operational efficiency and accuracy across various business lines, contributing to a second growth curve for the company [10][11]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: RMB 456 million - 2024: RMB 550 million - 2025: RMB 736 million - 2026: RMB 921 million - 2027: RMB 1,106 million - Net profit (attributable to shareholders) is expected to grow from RMB 84 million in 2023 to RMB 213 million in 2027, with corresponding EPS increasing from RMB 0.84 to RMB 2.12 [3][4][5]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to remain stable, with a slight increase from 66% in 2025 to 67% in 2027 [6]. Business Segmentation - Revenue from new energy power forecasting is expected to grow from RMB 309.47 million in 2024 to RMB 603.48 million in 2027, with a consistent gross margin of around 69% [6]. - The smart grid control systems segment is projected to see revenue growth from RMB 123.95 million in 2024 to RMB 250.99 million in 2027, maintaining a gross margin of 55% [6]. - The company is also focusing on expanding its virtual power plant operations, leveraging AI technology to enhance its service offerings and market position [10][11].