通富微电（002156）：Q4营收历史新高，绑定AMD净利亮眼

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the AI packaging sector, with significant revenue growth projected in the coming years [4][13] - The company has achieved record-high revenue in Q4 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [6][10] - The company is heavily investing in advanced packaging technologies, which is expected to drive future growth despite current profit declines due to high R&D expenses [8][12] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company reported revenue of 238.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%, and a net profit of 6.8 billion yuan, up 300% [6][10] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue of 68 billion yuan, marking a record high for a single quarter, but net profit decreased by 46% year-on-year [6][10] - The company's gross margin improved to 14.8%, up 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 2.8%, an increase of 2.1 percentage points [6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A: 22,269 million yuan, 2024A: 23,882 million yuan, 2025E: 26,857 million yuan, 2026E: 29,356 million yuan, and 2027E: 32,542 million yuan [4] - Net profit forecasts are: 2023A: 169 million yuan, 2024A: 678 million yuan, 2025E: 1,048 million yuan, 2026E: 1,436 million yuan, and 2027E: 1,605 million yuan [4] R&D and Technological Advancements - The company is actively developing advanced packaging technologies, with R&D expenses reaching 8.5% of revenue, an increase of 3.8 percentage points year-on-year [8][12] - The company has established deep partnerships with leading firms like AMD, enhancing its revenue potential through advanced packaging solutions [9][10] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company is the largest packaging supplier for AMD, handling over 80% of its orders, which provides a strong revenue base [10] - The company aims to achieve a revenue target of 26.5 billion yuan for 2025, representing a growth of 10.96% compared to 2024, which is above the industry growth rate [11][12]