ToLand(300855) 民生证券·2025-04-20 06:27Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company experienced a decline in performance due to fluctuations in downstream customer demand and a longer conversion cycle for R&D and construction investments. The revenue for 2024 was 1.26 billion yuan, down 9.2% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 267 million yuan, down 19.2% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company is focusing on increasing R&D investments to ensure long-term development, with R&D expenses rising by 11.7% to 63 million yuan in 2024, representing 5.0% of revenue [3][4]. - The company is expanding into additive manufacturing and small component processing for aviation, which is expected to open a second growth curve [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.26 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 9.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 267 million yuan, down 19.2% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 286 million yuan, down 18.3% year-on-year, and a net profit of 42 million yuan, down 54.1% year-on-year [3][4]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 33.9%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 21.2%, down 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Product Performance - The total sales volume of alloys in 2024 was approximately 4,895 tons, remaining stable compared to 2023. The revenue breakdown includes: - Cast high-temperature alloys: 420 million yuan, down 33.3% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 49.3% - Deformed high-temperature alloys: 520 million yuan, up 18.4% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 26.2% - Special stainless steel: 66 million yuan, down 22.0% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 42.6% - Other alloy products: 160 million yuan, down 10.2% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 12.2% [4]. Growth Prospects - The company is actively expanding its business in additive manufacturing and small component processing for aviation, with 106 new products under development, of which 90 have completed process validation [5]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 to 2027 is 301 million yuan, 353 million yuan, and 415 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 28x, 24x, and 21x [6][10].