HIKVISION(002415) 国金证券·2025-04-21 03:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with projected earnings multiples of 18.7X, 15.4X, and 13X for the years 2025 to 2027 respectively [3]. Core Views - The company is expected to see revenue growth of 6.6%, 9.5%, and 10.8% from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 986.0 billion, 1,079.9 billion, and 1,195.9 billion RMB respectively [3]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company is 139.9 billion, 169.7 billion, and 201.5 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 16.8%, 21.3%, and 18.7% [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company’s revenue for 2024 is reported at 924.96 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.53%, while the net profit is 119.7 billion RMB, showing a decline of 15.1% [9]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 185.32 billion RMB, a growth of 4.01%, and a net profit of 20.39 billion RMB, up 6.41% year-on-year [9]. Business Segmentation - The overseas and innovative business segments are performing well, with revenues of 224.84 billion and 259.89 billion RMB in 2024, representing growth rates of 21.19% and 8.39% respectively [9]. - Domestic business segments, including PBG, EBG, and SMBG, reported revenues of 134.67 billion, 176.51 billion, and 119.71 billion RMB, showing declines of 12.29%, 1.09%, and 5.58% respectively [9]. Cost Management and Profitability - The gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 43.83% and 44.92%, indicating stability despite a challenging demand environment [10]. - The company has begun to see the effects of cost control measures, with a focus on improving efficiency and profitability [10]. Research and Development Investment - Over the past five years, the company has invested a total of 477.02 billion RMB in R&D, enhancing its competitive edge in AI, big data, and software [11]. Dividend Policy - The company has maintained a high dividend payout, with a cash dividend rate exceeding 48% since 2015, reaching 53.73% in 2024 [12].