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万华化学:公司经营稳健,产销量稳步增长-20250421
600309wanhua(600309) 华安证券·2025-04-21 03:23

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [3] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 182.07 billion yuan for 2024, an increase of 3.83% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 22.49% to 13.03 billion yuan [7] - The polyurethane segment achieved a revenue of 75.84 billion yuan, up 12.55% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 26.15% [8] - The petrochemical segment generated a revenue of 72.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.60%, with a gross margin of 3.52% [9] - The company expects continued growth in production and sales in the polyurethane sector, supported by new projects coming online in 2025 and 2026 [12] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.36 billion yuan, 16.50 billion yuan, and 17.37 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12.02, 10.46, and 9.94 [13] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 43.07 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.70% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.08 billion yuan, an increase of 25.87% year-on-year [7] - The company faced challenges in Q4 2024, with a revenue drop of 19.49% year-on-year and a net profit decline of 52.83% [7] Production and Sales - The total production and sales of polyurethane products reached 5.8 million tons and 5.64 million tons respectively, showing an increase of 810,000 tons and 750,000 tons year-on-year [8] - The petrochemical segment's production and sales were 5.44 million tons and 5.47 million tons, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 690,000 tons and 750,000 tons [9] Future Outlook - The company is set to complete the construction of a new TDI project in Fujian by May 2025, which will add 330,000 tons of annual capacity [8] - The company plans to introduce a strategic investor with rich LPG resources to ensure a stable supply of raw materials [9]