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湖南黄金(002155):公司事件点评报告:受益于金锑价格上行,公司业绩大幅增长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hunan Gold is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - Hunan Gold's performance has significantly improved due to rising gold and antimony prices, with a total revenue of 27.839 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.46%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 847 million yuan, up 73.08% year-on-year [1][2] Summary by Sections Production and Pricing - The production of gold decreased slightly to 46.33 tons, down 2.87% year-on-year, while self-produced gold dropped by 6.13% to 3.71 tons. Antimony production also fell by 6.15% to 29,209 tons, with self-produced antimony down 13.2% to 15,227 tons. In contrast, tungsten production increased by 7.12% to 1,008 standard tons, with self-produced tungsten concentrate rising significantly by 59.24% [2] - The average price of antimony in 2024 was 129,756 yuan per ton, a substantial increase of 59.3% year-on-year. The average price of gold rose to 548.49 yuan per gram, up 22.14% compared to the same period in 2023 [2] Earnings Forecast - Revenue forecasts for Hunan Gold are projected at 38.269 billion yuan, 39.209 billion yuan, and 40.619 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. Net profits attributable to shareholders are expected to be 2.2 billion yuan, 2.286 billion yuan, and 2.392 billion yuan for the same years. The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 13.1, 12.6, and 12.0 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][10]