HLGF(600346) 信达证券·2025-04-22 01:17Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company demonstrated resilience in operations, with expectations for significant performance growth throughout the year [3] - The refining industry is entering a phase of stock competition, where advanced leading capacities are likely to benefit continuously [3] - Technological breakthroughs are enhancing product competitiveness, with promising growth potential in high-end chemical products [3] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 57.024 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.34% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.54% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.051 billion yuan, down 4.13% year-on-year but up 5.78% quarter-on-quarter - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 1.239 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 31.88% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 112.75% - Basic earnings per share were 0.29 yuan, down 3.33% year-on-year but up 3.57% quarter-on-quarter [1][3] Industry Insights - The international oil price showed a two-phase trend in Q1 2025, initially declining and then rebounding due to geopolitical factors - The average Brent oil price in Q1 2025 was $75 per barrel, down 8% year-on-year but up 1% quarter-on-quarter - The company’s refining products, PTA, and new materials experienced price declines of 2.5%, 16.6%, and 16.5% respectively, reflecting a seasonal demand slowdown [3] Production and Sales - The production and sales rates for refining products, PTA, and new materials were 91%, 98%, and 87% respectively, showing improvements compared to the previous year [3] Cash Flow - The company reported a net operating cash flow of 7.746 billion yuan in Q1 2025, indicating strong cash flow generation capabilities [3] Profit Forecast - The forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 8.112 billion yuan, 9.090 billion yuan, and 10.287 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.2%, 12.0%, and 13.2% [6]