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株冶集团(600961):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:贵金属增益显著,老牌铅锌央企焕新生
600961ZHUYE GP(600961) 东方证券·2025-04-22 01:34

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][8] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in precious metals, revitalizing its status as a long-standing lead-zinc enterprise [1] - The company reported a revenue of 19.76 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.82%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 790 million yuan, up 28.7% year-on-year [7] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 4.803 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.5% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 277 million yuan, a substantial increase of 74.07% year-on-year [7] - The company benefits from resource and industry chain advantages, enhancing its market competitiveness [7] - The zinc smelting business and precious metals segment drive the company's performance resilience, with significant revenue growth in both sectors [7] Financial Summary - The company’s projected earnings per share for 2025-2027 are 0.93, 1.03, and 1.15 yuan respectively, with an upward revision from the previous estimate of 0.87 yuan for 2025 [2][8] - Revenue is expected to grow from 19.76 billion yuan in 2024 to 25.12 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 6.2% [3] - The gross margin is projected to improve from 8.8% in 2024 to 10.0% in 2027, while the net margin is expected to rise from 4.0% to 4.9% over the same period [3] - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio is projected to decrease from 15.3 in 2024 to 9.7 in 2027, indicating potential value appreciation [3]