GoerTek(002241) 华创证券·2025-04-22 05:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company continues to show a trend of improving profitability, despite a decline in revenue due to normal product lifecycle effects. The first quarter of 2025 saw a year-over-year revenue decrease of 15.57% but a net profit increase of 23.53% [1][8] - The AI/AR glasses market is expected to experience significant growth, with the company well-positioned to benefit from this industry explosion. Global AI smart glasses sales are projected to reach 1.52 million units in 2024, a year-over-year increase of 533% [8] - The company's acoustic components and assembly business are anticipated to benefit from the introduction of new products and the increasing penetration of AI technology in consumer electronics [8] Financial Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 16.305 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.57% year-over-year, and a net profit of 469 million yuan, an increase of 23.53% year-over-year [1] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 12.41%, up 3.21 percentage points year-over-year, while the net profit margin was 2.68%, up 0.79 percentage points year-over-year [8] - The company forecasts total revenue growth from 100.954 billion yuan in 2024 to 121 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 9.1% [3][9] Business Outlook - The company is expected to see significant growth in its precision components and smart acoustic assembly businesses, driven by the launch of new AI-enabled products [8] - The anticipated release of Apple's AirPods Pro 3 in 2025 is expected to boost the company's assembly business, as it is a leading manufacturer in the smart acoustic assembly sector [8] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 3.535 billion yuan, 4.268 billion yuan, and 5.283 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3][9]