锂电材料行业周报：上周三元前驱体及材料价格下跌，磷酸铁锂需求拉动开工上行-20250422

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [2] Core Views - The lithium battery materials industry saw a rebound of 0.94% last week, outperforming the benchmark (CSI 300) by 0.35 percentage points. The industry valuation (TTM P/E) increased by 1.71x to 31.67x, currently at a long-term historical percentile of 20.9% [4][8] - The supply and demand dynamics are improving across various segments, but overall capacity remains sufficient, leading to low operational rates in the industry. Short-term U.S. tariff policies may disrupt export demand expectations, but domestic market demand is expected to benefit from policy continuity and downstream procurement support [13][48] Summary by Sections Market Performance - Over the past month, the industry has shown a relative return of -10%, a 3-month return of -4%, and a 12-month return of -11%. Absolute returns were -16%, -5%, and -5% respectively [3] Positive Material Trends - Last week, the price of ternary precursors and materials decreased, while the demand for lithium iron phosphate (LFP) increased, leading to a rise in operational rates. The prices of ternary precursor materials NCM111, NCM523, NCM622, and NCM811 fell by 1.23%, 1.25%, 1.22%, and 1.66% respectively, with current prices at 80,500 CNY/ton, 79,000 CNY/ton, 81,000 CNY/ton, and 89,000 CNY/ton [5][6] - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate decreased by 0.36% to 70,000 CNY/ton, while battery-grade lithium hydroxide remained stable at 71,800 CNY/ton [5] Electrolyte and Separator Insights - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate continued to decline, with a 2.54% drop to 57,500 CNY/ton. The solvent prices increased, but electrolyte prices remained stable [9][12] - The separator production increased by 1.76% to 52 million square meters, with an operational rate of 79.65%. However, the market continues to experience an oversupply situation [11] Investment Recommendations - The current industry valuation is at a historical low, providing some potential for elasticity. However, the marginal profitability improvement is constrained by supply-demand imbalances, and the industry needs to achieve a rebalancing for a significant turnaround [13][48]