First(603806) 中银国际·2025-04-22 11:23Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][3][5] Core Views - The company is a leader in photovoltaic film production, with a stable market position and expected high growth in photosensitive dry film sales [3][8] - The company's 2024 annual report shows a 29% decline in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a revenue decrease of 15.23% [8][9] - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in photovoltaic component demand and prices, as well as strong capabilities in process control, supply chain management, and technology research and development [8][9] Financial Summary - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected at RMB 19,147 million, down from RMB 22,589 million in 2023, reflecting a growth rate of -15.23% [7][9] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is expected to be RMB 1,308 million, a decrease of 29.33% compared to 2023 [8][9] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is forecasted to be RMB 0.68, down from the previous estimate of RMB 0.89, reflecting a reduction of 23.60% [5][7] - The projected EBITDA for 2025 is RMB 2,008 million, with a corresponding EV/EBITDA ratio of 14.3 [7][10] Business Segments - The photovoltaic film business achieved a gross margin of 14.72% in 2024, with a total shipment of 2.811 billion square meters, marking a year-on-year increase of 24.98% [8][9] - The sales of photosensitive dry film are expected to enter a high growth phase, with shipments reaching 159 million square meters in 2024, a growth of 37.97% year-on-year [8][9]