证券研究报告——晨会聚焦 2026 年 2 月 13 日 中银晨会聚焦-20260213 (8621)20328310 jun.wang_sh@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300511070001 2 月金股组合 股票代码 股票名称 0119.HK 保利置业集团 000099.SZ 中信海直 601111.SH 中国国航 600352.SH 浙江龙盛 002409.SZ 雅克科技 603806.SH 福斯特 300760.SZ 迈瑞医疗 600519.SH 贵州茅台 000524.SZ 岭南控股 603986.SH 兆易创新 688123.SH 聚辰股份 ■重点关注 ◼ 【房地产】2026 年房地产行业展望—2026 年房地产市场"前低后高"；全 年板块或迎来两大拐点*夏亦丰 许佳璐 2026 年全年来看，地产板块出现收益的机会较大，今年建议关注及配 置。从投资主线来说，部分房企在 2025 年计提减值相对充分，2026、2027 年减值压力减轻，在此变化之下有反转可能性；部分持有性商业地产公 司已经提前布局新业态、新模式、新场景，更能把握新消费时代下的机 遇。 现阶段我们建议关 ...

关于归还临时补充流动资金的募集资金的公告 杭州福斯特应用材料股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 截至 2026 年 2 月 12 日，公司已累计归还临时补充流动资金的闲置募 集资金人民币 51,500 万元。 | 证券代码：603806 | 证券简称：福斯特 | | | 公告编号：2026-006 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：113661 | 转债简称：福 | 22 | 转债 | | 一、募集资金临时补充流动资金情况 杭州福斯特应用材料股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于2025年3月20日 召开第六届董事会第五次会议，审议通过了《关于归还募集资金及继续使用募集 资金临时补充流动资金的议案》，同意公司将"福22转债"暂时闲置募集资金中 的不超过人民币100,000万元临时用于补充公司流动资金，使用期限自董事会审 议通过之日起不超过12个月。监事会、保荐机构分别发表了明确同意的意见。具 体内容请详见公司于2025年3月21日在上海证券交 ...

Company and Industry Summary Company: Foster (福斯特) Key Points - **Leading Overseas Production Capacity** Foster holds the largest overseas production capacity for solar backsheet, exceeding 600 million square meters in Thailand and Vietnam. The company has a long-standing partnership with Tesla, developing and supplying specialized backsheets, which positions it to benefit from Tesla's expansion in component production. Additionally, Foster is the largest supplier of backsheets in India, collaborating with major companies such as Waaree, Adani, Vikram, and Reliance Inc. The reduction of U.S. tariffs on Indian solar components to 18% is expected to further enhance exports from India to the U.S. [1][2][3] - **Profitability Advantage** The profitability of overseas backsheets is over 5 percentage points higher than domestic production, indicating that the company is likely to see significant improvements in overall profitability as it capitalizes on this advantage [1][2][3]. - **Expansion into Space Photovoltaics** Foster is increasing its focus on space photovoltaics by establishing a joint venture to engage in flexible gallium arsenide and related equity investments. This strategy aims to create synergies with its existing business and expand into the supply of space photovoltaic materials. The company has a diverse product lineup, including modified silicone, modified POE, butyl rubber, and CPI films, which will support its growth in the space photovoltaic sector [2][3]. - **Growth in Non-Photovoltaic Segments** The company is actively exploring new growth avenues outside of photovoltaics, particularly in photoresist dry films, which are expected to see a 30% year-on-year increase in shipments by 2025, contributing approximately 1-1.5 billion in profit. The demand for aluminum-plastic films is anticipated to rise with the development of solid-state batteries, presenting another potential growth area for the company [2][3]. - **Investment Outlook** The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is estimated at 1.01 billion, 1.61 billion, and 2.18 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of -23%, 58%, and 36%, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 41, 26, and 19 times. The company maintains a "buy" rating based on these projections [2][3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the space photovoltaic industry has significant potential, driven by both domestic and international developments, particularly with SpaceX's plans for a solar energy satellite network and China's increasing satellite launch capabilities [1][2] - The global market for space photovoltaics could reach 8GW annually, with a potential market size of 8 trillion yuan, even if the cost of components decreases significantly [2] - China's photovoltaic industry is strong, with leading manufacturers in equipment and materials, such as Maiwei and Aotwei, which are expected to gain incremental orders due to the expansion of overseas leaders [3] Group 2 - The report suggests focusing on key photovoltaic equipment manufacturers like Aotwei, Maiwei, and others that are likely to benefit from the expansion of overseas leaders [3] - It also highlights core material manufacturers like Dongfang Risen and others that have established deep relationships with overseas clients, which will drive profit growth [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Insights - The global sales of new energy vehicles are expected to maintain rapid growth by 2026, driving demand for batteries and materials [1]. - Recent fluctuations in material prices for power batteries warrant attention to the pricing situation along the supply chain [1]. - Solid-state batteries are entering a critical phase of engineering validation, with a focus on related materials and equipment companies [1]. - In the photovoltaic sector, "anti-involution" and "space photovoltaics" are identified as the two main investment themes for 2026, with increased demand for photovoltaic equipment [1]. - The domestic market is seeing a rise in high-power component demand, with downstream battery components relying on efficiency improvements for market clearing [1]. - Wind power demand is expected to continue growing, with recommendations to focus on wind turbines and offshore wind power [1]. - The energy storage sector remains highly prosperous, with a recommendation to pay attention to energy storage cells and large-scale integrated plants [1]. - Hydrogen energy is anticipated to open up demand for green hydrogen, with a focus on downstream hydrogen-based energy applications [1]. - Nuclear fusion is seen as a long-term catalyst for energy development, with recommendations to focus on core suppliers in the nuclear fusion power sector [1]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The power equipment and new energy sector rose by 2.2%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 1.27% [10]. - The photovoltaic sector saw the highest increase at 3.43%, while the wind power sector experienced a slight decline of 0.01% [13]. Key Industry Information - The China Passenger Car Association estimates that 900,000 new energy vehicles will be wholesaled in January 2026, a 1% year-on-year increase [27]. - Changan Automobile and CATL announced the global launch of the first sodium battery mass-produced passenger vehicle, expected to be available by mid-2026 [27]. - Tesla has achieved large-scale production of dry electrode technology [27]. - The domestic energy storage tender for January 2026 reached 36.3 GWh, with notable bidding scales in Ningxia, Hebei, and Xinjiang [27]. Company Developments - Foster is collaborating with professional institutions to invest in a private equity fund focused on flexible thin-film gallium arsenide battery companies [29]. - Guoxuan High-Tech plans to raise up to 5 billion yuan through a private placement for a 20 GWh power battery project [29]. - TCL Zhonghuan's subsidiary Maxeon Solar signed a patent licensing agreement with Aisuo, with a five-year licensing fee of 1.65 billion yuan [29].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Increase" for the industry [4] Core Insights - Perovskite solar cells are entering the era of GW-level mass production, with leading companies like JinkoSolar and LONGi Green Energy accelerating capacity release [2][35] - The efficiency of perovskite cells is rapidly improving, with laboratory efficiencies reaching 27.3% for single-junction cells and 35.0% for perovskite-silicon tandem cells, significantly surpassing the maximum efficiency of silicon cells at 27.9% [15][19] - The cost competitiveness of perovskite cells is expected to improve, with unit production costs projected to drop to 1.0 RMB/W by 2026, potentially surpassing silicon cells [2][35] Summary by Sections Section 1: Perovskite as the Next Generation Photovoltaic Solution - Perovskite solar cells utilize a hybrid organic-inorganic metal halide semiconductor as the light-absorbing material, offering advantages such as high efficiency, low cost, and lightweight [8][11] Section 2: Efficiency and Stability Breakthroughs - The report highlights significant advancements in efficiency and stability, with perovskite cells achieving rapid efficiency improvements compared to silicon cells [15][18] - The industry is overcoming stability challenges through material modifications and process optimizations, with some products achieving IEC commercial standard certification [25][26] Section 3: GW-Level Production Era - The first GW-level production line for perovskite solar cells has been launched, marking the beginning of large-scale production [35] - By 2027, global production capacity is expected to exceed 5GW, with a complete supply chain being established [2][35] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the perovskite supply chain, particularly those with clear capacity deployment and advancements in tandem technology, such as LONGi Green Energy and Trina Solar [3] - Equipment manufacturers with high domestic production rates and sufficient orders, like JinkoSolar and Mibet, are also recommended for investment [3]

Core Insights - The report highlights the contradiction faced during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, where carbon reduction pressures are increasing while the growth rate of new energy installations is slowing down. The introduction of a national capacity price policy is expected to open up space for new energy installations and support high-yield investment options for power companies during the "14th Five-Year Plan" investment intensity [5][6][9]. Group 1: Energy Storage Industry - The national capacity price policy, issued on January 30, 2026, aims to establish a mechanism that balances power supply stability, green energy transformation, and efficient resource allocation. This policy is expected to support the development of adjustable power sources and enhance the installation of new energy [7][9]. - The report estimates that the demand for energy storage will show a high growth trend, with new energy storage installations expected to reach 66.43 GW and 189.48 GWh in 2025, representing year-on-year increases of 52% and 73% respectively [8][9]. - The capacity price policy is seen as the final piece needed for energy storage development, potentially increasing project returns from approximately 6.5% to over 8% under current subsidy conditions. This is expected to stimulate investment interest from state-owned enterprises in new energy storage projects [8][9]. Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests prioritizing investments in leading companies involved in energy storage integration and upstream battery cells, recommending firms such as Sungrow Power Supply, Trina Solar, LONGi Green Energy, JinkoSolar, CATL, and Eve Energy. It also advises monitoring companies like Haisum, Sungrow Electric, Canadian Solar, and Penghui Energy [9].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market for space photovoltaic concept stocks has experienced a collective pullback, with significant declines in several key companies, despite initial excitement driven by research from Elon Musk's team [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - Major stocks such as JunDa Co., JinChen Co., and JinkoSolar saw sharp declines, with JunDa Co. and JinChen Co. hitting the daily limit down of 10%, while JinkoSolar fell over 8% [1] - The overall market sentiment was influenced by the recent hype around space photovoltaic technology, which has attracted attention from both the capital market and the tech sector [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - Liu Yiyang, Executive Secretary of the China Photovoltaic Industry Association, stated that space photovoltaic technology is still in the exploratory and verification stages, making it premature to determine a clear technological direction [1] - The association highlighted that while the concept has gained traction, the realization of any technology will depend on mature, replicable manufacturing capabilities and long-term reliability verification systems [1] Group 3: Technology Comparison - Gallium Arsenide (GaAs) batteries remain the mainstream choice for commercial aerospace and space stations due to their high conversion efficiency and excellent radiation resistance, despite their high costs [2] - In contrast, the market's enthusiasm for heterojunction (HJT) and perovskite technologies is largely based on cost-reduction logic proposed by certain financial institutions, with actual products still in the early stages of laboratory or verification processes [2]

Group 1 - Company Sunlight Power (300274) is a leading domestic enterprise in photovoltaic inverters, covering the entire industry chain including energy storage systems and photovoltaic power station development [1][43] - The company has strong technical capabilities in power electronics and system integration, with products suitable for various applications including residential, commercial, and large-scale ground power stations [1][43] - In the space photovoltaic and computing power sector, Sunlight Power's technology can be adapted for space applications, providing stable power support for space computing centers [1][43][44] Group 2 - Longi Green Energy (601012) is a leading domestic photovoltaic company focusing on the research and production of monocrystalline silicon rods and wafers, with a complete vertical integration in the industry chain [2][45] - The company excels in new generation high-efficiency battery technologies such as N-type TOPCon and HJT, with significant cost control and technical advantages [2][45] - Longi's ultra-thin silicon wafer technology meets the stringent requirements for space photovoltaic components, enabling reduced weight and improved energy efficiency for space computing centers [2][45] Group 3 - Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438) is a dual leader in photovoltaic silicon materials and battery production, with a strong focus on high-purity crystalline silicon and photovoltaic battery manufacturing [3][46] - The company has a high market share in high-purity silicon production and is well-positioned to meet the rigorous standards required for space photovoltaic components [3][46] - Tongwei's efficient battery technology can enhance power generation in space photovoltaic applications, positioning the company as a key supplier in the space photovoltaic supply chain [3][46] Group 4 - Deye Technology (605117) is a quality enterprise with core businesses in dehumidification equipment and photovoltaic energy storage systems, excelling in household and commercial energy storage solutions [4][43] - The company's energy storage technology is crucial for providing stable energy supply in space photovoltaic applications, addressing intermittent power generation issues [4][43][44] - Deye's experience in developing equipment for extreme environments positions it well to adapt products for space applications [4][43] Group 5 - Jingcheng Machinery (300316) is a leading domestic enterprise in photovoltaic crystal growth equipment, focusing on high-end equipment for photovoltaic manufacturing [5][6] - The company's technology supports the production of high-purity silicon crystals and ultra-thin silicon wafers, essential for space photovoltaic components [5][6] - As the space photovoltaic industry matures, Jingcheng is expected to provide core manufacturing equipment for the space photovoltaic supply chain [5][6] Group 6 - Maiwei Co., Ltd. (300751) is a leading enterprise in photovoltaic battery equipment, specializing in HJT and perovskite tandem battery technologies [7][41] - The company's equipment is crucial for the mass production of high-efficiency batteries that meet the stringent requirements of space photovoltaic applications [7][41] - Maiwei's technology can support the development of space-specific battery manufacturing equipment, enhancing energy system efficiency for space computing centers [7][41] Group 7 - Foster (603806) is a global leader in photovoltaic packaging materials, focusing on EVA and POE films, with a strong market presence [8][43] - The company's packaging materials are essential for ensuring the durability and performance of photovoltaic components in extreme space environments [8][43] - Foster aims to develop specialized packaging materials for space applications, enhancing the reliability of space photovoltaic systems [8][43] Group 8 - JinkoSolar (002459) is a global leader in photovoltaic modules, with a comprehensive business model covering silicon wafers, battery cells, and modules [10][43] - The company has a strong technical foundation and global production capabilities, allowing it to meet diverse application needs [10][43] - JinkoSolar's module manufacturing technology is well-suited for space applications, with the potential to become a core supplier for space photovoltaic systems [10][43] Group 9 - TCL Zhonghuan (002129) is a core enterprise in the silicon wafer sector, focusing on monocrystalline silicon materials and semiconductor materials [12][43] - The company's high-purity silicon technology is critical for space photovoltaic components, meeting the stringent requirements for purity and performance [12][43] - TCL Zhonghuan is positioned to develop space-specific silicon products, enhancing its role in the space photovoltaic supply chain [12][43] Group 10 - Aerospace Electromechanical (600151) is a leading enterprise in the integration of aerospace and photovoltaic technologies, covering the entire industry chain from component manufacturing to power station operation [19][43] - The company's aerospace power technology can be directly applied to space photovoltaic systems, providing essential energy management solutions [19][43] - With its experience in satellite systems, Aerospace Electromechanical is well-positioned to participate in the development of space computing centers [19][43]

Market Overview - After a significant drop yesterday, the A-share market rebounded today, influenced by a collective rebound in the external markets [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index closed up by 1.29%, 2.19%, and 1.86% respectively, with a total market turnover exceeding 2.5 trillion [4] Aerospace Sector - The aerospace sector was the strongest performer in today's rebound, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit, including Zhongchao Holdings, Taihao Technology, and others [5] - The SpaceX concept, solar power, and aerospace stocks surged by 9.4%, 5.23%, and 4.38% respectively [7] Film and Television Sector - The film and television sector showed a continuous slight increase, with a notable performance from Hengdian Film, which achieved a four-day consecutive rise [13] - The sector closed up by 2.23%, driven by pre-holiday speculation for the upcoming Spring Festival box office [15] Gaming Sector - The gaming sector experienced a significant drop, with Tencent Holdings and other companies seeing declines due to rumors regarding potential increases in value-added tax rates [19] - Following clarifications from industry experts, the gaming sector rebounded, closing up by 2.89% [23] Computing Power Chips - The chip sector faced a sharp decline, particularly with Cambrian Technology, which saw a drop of over 14% due to rumors about revenue guidance [26] - Despite a clarification from Cambrian Technology denying the rumors, the stock still ended down over 9% [26]