VGT(300476) 中银国际·2025-04-23 07:46Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock price will exceed the benchmark index by more than 20% over the next 6-12 months [2][6]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to capitalize on the historical opportunities presented by AI computing power, leading to rapid growth in revenue and net profit. The report highlights a significant increase in both metrics for 2024 and Q1 2025 [4][9]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of RMB 164.19 billion, RMB 218.37 billion, and RMB 272.97 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of RMB 34.49 billion, RMB 47.12 billion, and RMB 59.74 billion [6][9]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 107.31 billion, a year-on-year increase of 35.31%, and a net profit of RMB 11.54 billion, up 71.96% year-on-year. The gross margin improved to 22.72%, an increase of 2.01 percentage points [9]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of RMB 43.12 billion, a year-on-year increase of 80.31%, and a net profit of RMB 9.21 billion, reflecting a staggering year-on-year growth of 339.22% [9]. - The company has projected a net profit growth of no less than 30% for Q2 2025, with a year-on-year increase exceeding 360% for the first half of 2025 [9]. Growth Drivers - The company is focusing on AI and data center upgrades, leveraging its technological advantages to capture market share in high-end products. It has made significant advancements in HDI products and is actively engaging with top international clients [9]. - The company has invested RMB 4.5 billion in R&D in 2024, emphasizing innovation in AI computing products and automotive electronics, positioning itself as a key supplier for major electric vehicle manufacturers [9]. Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 19.1, 14.0, and 11.0 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation as the company continues to grow [6][9]. - The report anticipates a steady increase in EBITDA, with projections of RMB 4.806 billion, RMB 6.235 billion, and RMB 7.605 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [6].