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广州酒家(603043):餐饮扩张表现亮眼,积极分红与激励凸显信心

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 18.36 CNY, based on a PE ratio of 18 times for 2025 [6][10]. Core Views - The company is experiencing strong performance in restaurant expansion and is actively distributing dividends and implementing incentives to boost confidence [1]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 1.02, 1.16, and 1.30 CNY respectively, reflecting a downward revision due to weak downstream demand and rising raw material costs [2][10]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its restaurant business, which has shown significant growth, while its food manufacturing segment is under pressure due to increased competition [9]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue for 2023 is reported at 4,901 million CNY, with a projected growth to 5,718 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.6% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 550 million CNY in 2023 to 577 million CNY in 2025, indicating a growth rate of 16.9% [4]. - The overall gross margin is projected to decline from 35.6% in 2023 to 32.7% in 2025, primarily due to increased promotional activities in the food manufacturing sector [9].