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万华化学(600309):公司季报点评:建业绩导向观念,迎2025“变革年”

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][11]. Core Views - The petrochemical business is under significant pressure, leading to a downward revision of the company's EPS for 2025-2026 to 4.20, 5.45, and 6.07 RMB respectively. The target price is adjusted to 67.70 RMB based on a PE of 16.12x for 2025 [4][11]. - The company's Q4 performance showed a decline both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to impairments, with a notable drop in revenue and net profit [12][4]. - The company is entering a "Year of Transformation" in 2025, focusing on management reforms to enhance organizational vitality and market expansion [12][13]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 182.07 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.83%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.03 billion RMB, down 22.49% year-on-year [12]. - The Q4 revenue was 34.47 billion RMB, down 19.49% year-on-year and 31.80% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.94 billion RMB, down 52.83% year-on-year [12]. - The company's 2025 Q1 performance improved quarter-on-quarter, with revenue of 43.07 billion RMB, down 6.70% year-on-year but up 24.96% quarter-on-quarter [12]. Business Developments - The company has a diverse business layout, including polyurethane, petrochemicals, fine chemicals, and new materials. Key projects include a new TDI project in Fujian and a LDPE unit in Yantai, both expected to enhance production capacity significantly [13][12].